To continue on that FLOP to that bet sizing, his continuing range has to be strong. So it should look like this:
Quote:
JJ, TdTs, TdTc, TsTc, 5d5s, 5d5c, 5s5c, 3d3s, 3d3c, 3s3c, AhKh, AhJh, Ah8h, Kh8h, Ah7h, Kh7h, Ah6h, Kh6h, Ah4h, Kh4h, Ah2h, Kh2h, AhKd, AhKs, AhKc, AhJd, AhJs, AhJc, KhJd, KhJs, KhJc
Overpair (unlikely) sets, made flushes or backdoor draws.
When the turn comes and he donk bets, his range pretty much stays the same minus the overpair, but your equity advantage increases to 58%.
Going on this alone, a small raise seems like a sensible option. Shoving maximises your equity advantage, but it's possible you'll run into the top of his range based upon your reads of him. Or a shove might mean he'll fold out his sets, which you might otherwise have been able to extract some value from on the river.
If you do shove or raise though, his continuing range would look more like this:
Quote:
AhKh,AhJh,Ah8h,Kh8h,Ah7h,Kh7h,Ah6h,Kh6h,Ah4h,Kh4h, Ah2h,Kh2h,AhKd,AhKs,AhKc,AhJd,AhJs,AhJc,KhJd,KhJs, KhJc
Made nut + 2nd nut flush and backdoor A/K flush (because fish obviously do this). I am not sure he would call wider than this to a fairly sized raise.
Your equity vs this range is 36%.
So to me, you should
call this turn and keep his sets/backdoor flush within his range.
River is trickier because of the fact he could be bluff-shoving sets/missed backdoors on non-hearts.
I play much lower than you however and I am just trying to think about this as best as I currently can. I'd be interested to hear others thoughts on what I've said.