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Do you X or Bet this River? Do you X or Bet this River?

11-14-2018 , 05:50 PM
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem $0.10(BB)
BTN ($10.67) [VPIP: 12.5% | PFR: 8.3% | AGG: 33.3% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 50]
SB ($12.35) [VPIP: 25% | PFR: 21.4% | AGG: 33.3% | 3-Bet: 10% | Hands: 29]
BB ($15.41) [VPIP: 35.9% | PFR: 26.6% | AGG: 40.9% | 3-Bet: 13.8% | Hands: 64]
UTG ($10.15) [VPIP: 18.8% | PFR: 8.3% | AGG: 40% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 48]
HERO ($10.15) [VPIP: 29.4% | PFR: 24.9% | AGG: 38.5% | 3-Bet: 7.6% | Hands: 228]
CO ($24.75) [VPIP: 28.2% | PFR: 26.4% | AGG: 36.4% | 3-Bet: 5.9% | Hands: 112]

Dealt to Hero: A 2

UTG Folds, HERO Raises To $0.22, CO Folds, BTN Calls $0.22, SB Folds, BB Folds

Hero SPR on Flop: [16.83 effective]
Flop ($0.59): 9 2 K
HERO Bets $0.28 (Rem. Stack: 9.65), BTN Calls $0.28 (Rem. Stack: 10.17)

Turn ($1.15): 9 2 K A
HERO Bets $1.60 (Rem. Stack: 8.05), BTN Calls $1.60 (Rem. Stack: 8.57)

River ($4.35): 9 2 K A 3
HERO ?
Do you X or Bet this River? Quote
11-14-2018 , 07:01 PM
At a quick glance, I don't have strong feelings towards betting or check-calling. If villain is a nit, he might not bet with worse, so you might have to bet yourself. It kind of depends how he plays QJdd/JTdd and AQdd/AJdd.

Oh, I just realised you overbet the turn. I think that might make it a check.
Do you X or Bet this River? Quote
11-14-2018 , 07:04 PM
If he has a king, or he turned top pair with the nut flush draw, he isn't going to bet river. I don't see too many bluff candidates for him either. Really only QJ/QT/JT of diamonds. I think we should be betting ourselves. Somewhere around $2.80 seems good. Also, I wouldn't overbet the turn. It's gonna scare away a king too often. Better to overbet if you had a hand like JT of diamonds. A set of kings would be a great hand to do it with as well, since that weights his range towards the stuff that's never folding.
Do you X or Bet this River? Quote
11-14-2018 , 07:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FoldOnce
If he has a king, or he turned top pair with the nut flush draw, he isn't going to bet river. I don't see too many bluff candidates for him either. Really only QJ/QT/JT of diamonds. I think we should be betting ourselves. Somewhere around $2.80 seems good. Also, I wouldn't overbet the turn. It's gonna scare away a king too often. Better to overbet if you had a hand like JT of diamonds. A set of kings would be a great hand to do it with as well, since that weights his range towards the stuff that's never folding.
I'm always overbetting range advantage spots. I can have AK/KK/AA and he can never have those so that's why I did it. I'm playing a range on the turn, so it's fine if he folds Kx.
Do you X or Bet this River? Quote
11-14-2018 , 07:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ArtyMcFly
At a quick glance, I don't have strong feelings towards betting or check-calling. If villain is a nit, he might not bet with worse, so you might have to bet yourself. It kind of depends how he plays QJdd/JTdd and AQdd/AJdd.

Oh, I just realised you overbet the turn. I think that might make it a check.
Yeah its a weird spot. He has 10 combos of Axdd so that makes me want to overbet river here. But then he has QJdd/JTdd/QTdd (although I think these raise flop some % of the time, at least at a higher frequency then Axdd).
Do you X or Bet this River? Quote
11-14-2018 , 09:39 PM
Jammit.
Do you X or Bet this River? Quote
11-14-2018 , 11:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
I'm always overbetting range advantage spots. I can have AK/KK/AA and he can never have those so that's why I did it. I'm playing a range on the turn, so it's fine if he folds Kx.
Are you overbetting 100% of your range ott?
Do you X or Bet this River? Quote
11-14-2018 , 11:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rapidesh123
Are you overbetting 100% of your range ott?
If i bet the flop, yes.
Do you X or Bet this River? Quote
11-15-2018 , 04:01 AM
overbet river
Do you X or Bet this River? Quote
11-15-2018 , 03:22 PM
Smaller otf and turn is fine.

I don't really know how 10z players play but overbetting doesn't make much sense to me otr. If you think he calls an overbet with AQdd/AJdd and his Axdd hands then go for it.

Think 10z players make more calling mistakes than betting mistakes, so I'd prefer to bet this(not always) but I probably won't be overbetting.
Do you X or Bet this River? Quote
11-15-2018 , 05:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
If i bet the flop, yes.
wtf???
Do you X or Bet this River? Quote

      
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