Quote:
Originally Posted by Zuko
well optimal stats do exist. it is not really difficult to figure those out. but it wont be as useful as you might think. for example you could run a large flopsubset bb vs btn srp, have IP cb 1/4 pot and then look at the aggregate report and you have the optimal continue frequency for bb across all boards. The problem is that these stats are only optimal with the given preflop ranges and more important they are an average across ALL boards vs that specific sizing. i.e. vs a 1/3 cb bb has to x/r 20% on some boards (even 30% if villain is betting range when he really should not) and on other boards BB should only x/r like 5%. But if IP Cbets larger the x/r frequency increases. at the same time in a spot BB vs EP the x/r frequency overall should be higher (at optimal). you probably need millions of hands on villain to determain his exact x/r frequency for a specific spot. but even if you assume you would exactly now villains frequencies for specific spots... you would still not exactly know how villain constructs his range. how much value, how much air etc...
that is a good point, thank you for your reply.
Can i ask you one more question. let say you have 3k hands of stats of your opponent(or more, whatever), is there percentage of certain action he takes, make you think that you can exploit him? For me, Obviously if my opponent has 90% won at showdown, i will bet on river more often than i usually do because i know he would fold most of the time. are there numbers you looking for? or you just observe what he does and find a conclusion yourself