Quote:
Originally Posted by Zuko
still not convinced 3 betting here is more +ev
I just spent 30 mins in crev and using some estimated ranges I came up with AQo as a flat has +0.38EV and as a 3b +.42EV. all of these assume the ranges as follows:
HJ open 24.9%(AA-22,AKs-A2s,KQs-K8s,QJs-Q8s,JTs-J8s,T9s-T8s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s,AKo-ATo,KQo-KTo,QJo-QTo,JTo)
hero calls 6.64% (JJ-22,AQs-ATs,KQs,AQo)
SB calls 8.45%(JJ-22,AQs-ATs,KQs,AKo-AJo)
to flop....
OR
hero 3b 4.07%(AA-QQ,AKs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s,AKo)
SB fold ( for sake of argument and simplicity)
HJ 4b/GII 2.56% (AA-QQ,AKs,AKo)
HJ flat 4.22% (JJ-88,AQs-AJs,AQo-AJo)
HJ fold 18.1% (77-22,ATs-A2s,KQs-K8s,QJs-Q8s,JTs-J8s,T9s-T8s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s,ATo,KQo-KTo,QJo-QTo,JTo)
Hero GII 2.56% (AA-QQ,AKs,AKo)
Hero fold 1.51% (T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s)
probably hard to visualize but 3b is higher ev slightly..this doesn't include the times SB gets involved and cold 4b or flats some weird range. there are a lot of variables including SB squeezing as well. its really difficult but I think it honestly could go either way. I will do both with this hand depending on villain, in this spot I chose to flat otb, if I were CO for example, I would be more inclined to 3b vs flat.