AA river fold ? 50nl - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

Two Plus Two Forums Poker Strategy Online No-Limit Hold’em Cash

AA river fold ? 50nl

Post Reply Subscribe

...

12-14-2017 , 01:48 PM

sinbad34

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2017 Posts: 58

50 nl 6max zoom. As such, readless

50$ stacks

Utg opens 1.5$, folds to me on button withA

I reraise to 4.50$, folds to villain who calls

Flop (~ 9$) q

Villain check, hero bets 4.50$ villain calls

Turn (~18$) t

Check check

River 7

Villain leads 12

Hero?

Lots of two pair combos, sets, and ak has a straight, should I just call Ak +

Quote

12-14-2017 , 02:09 PM

StackedYouSon

adept

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 741

Quote

12-14-2017 , 02:18 PM

JamesBJames

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2005 Posts: 5,791

Kinda at the top of our range, right? Don't see how we can fold.

Checking turn seems fine on this run-out too, but I'm less sure about it.

Quote

12-14-2017 , 02:44 PM

CrazyAndy27s

adept

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 790

Size down a bit on the flop, even like $3.50-$4 is good.

Call river as played.

Quote

12-14-2017 , 08:06 PM

edhill

enthusiast

Join Date: Nov 2017 Posts: 88

I can't fold this river.
This is right at the top end of our range, the price is good and checking the turn through might well induce villain to value bet too thin or just take a stab.

If river was checked to me I'd be betting ~ $10 for value.

Quote

12-15-2017 , 12:59 AM

sinbad34

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2017 Posts: 58

Thank you all for valued opinions.

Results for interest sake, hero calls, villain shows qts

Hero second guesses his decision and is comforted by constructive feedback on 2+2

Quote

12-15-2017 , 04:41 AM

tomj

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 4,543

(I have just worked out villain river betting range but phone died lol)
Conclusion was that he has about 30 better combos, about 12 worse value combos, bluffs with sdv hard to guess, pure bluffs like close to zero probably. But, he will check some worse value hands but always bet his better than aces value hands since these are the frequently the nuts, so pot odds doesnt justify a call imo.

Are we exploitable? Yes, but villain needs to float flop wide enough that he is bleeding money on most turns. It's not worth protecting our range with a flop check when we can fire at least 2 streets for value except when the awful ten falls.

Quote

12-15-2017 , 04:53 AM

IClickButtons

old hand

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 1,613

call, and I'd bet has he checked otr. I think turn check is fine too.

Quote

Post Reply Subscribe

...