PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 203.1 BB (VPIP: 19.05, PFR: 12.05, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 84)
SB: 247.8 BB (VPIP: 37.10, PFR: 33.87, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 63)
BB: 250.3 BB (VPIP: 24.16, PFR: 22.15, 3Bet Preflop: 6.12, Hands: 152)
Hero (UTG): 256 BB
MP: 261.3 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
CO: 105.5 BB (VPIP: 26.35, PFR: 20.27, 3Bet Preflop: 12.73, Hands: 149)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 2 A

Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB raises to 11 BB, Hero calls 8 BB

Flop: (22.5 BB, 2 players) 7 7 5
BB checks, Hero bets 11.8 BB, BB calls 11.8 BB

Turn: (46.1 BB, 2 players) 4
BB checks, Hero bets 24.2 BB, BB calls 24.2 BB

River: (94.5 BB, 2 players) J
BB checks, Hero bets 67.7 BB

Idk how much I like the triple barrel here. It just seems like you're getting trapped, in which case they are never folding. It seems unlikely villain calls twice with AK that can then fold the river. I usually give up on the turn or river. Rarely are people this sticky with AK.

Also, I think this is way too loose of a call pre. Pretty sure this is always a fold. BB vs UTG is going to be the tightest 3bet range so I just don't think you can call here.

fold to 3bet pre or 4bet if hes wide. AP: give up flop/turn/river

4-bet or (mostly) fold pre. Villain's 3-bet range in the BBvUTG is super-strong.
Being deep here isn't helpful, unless villain routinely 3-bets 65s+ (giving you a chance to overflush him for chunks). More commonly you are dominated and getting owned by AK/TT+.

Probably give up and take the free card on the turn. Villain can play his overpairs with check-calls on this texture.

I feel like it’s virtually never that BB doesn’t bet his big pairs on this board. 7x is irrelevant and all mid pairs will call and AK AQ will float.

Maybe the population c-bets hands like AA-QQ pretty often, but I would be reluctant to do so if I've got 200bb behind. Getting raised on the flop would be sick.

I also don't like preflop. Fold or 4bet if you think he is capable of getting out of line in these positions.

What are we tripling on this runout for value?

JJ QQ.
What’s he calling on the river with? Don’t say big pairs because nobody is checking flop with them

I would check AA on this flop 100% of the time in his shoes fwiw.

With an SPR of > 10, I probably x range otf.

I don't hate the triple and it might work against a lot of the nits that infest that pool. My point was that we are way out of balance if we are betting all of our air under the assumption that villain can't call three bets. If villain is even semi-decent he has something in his flop checking range to combat that exact thought process.

I feel having the A reduced his range of combos that will call flop and turn and fold river.

As most said 4bet/fold pre
Check flop
Bet after a turn check

That being said the injection to your balls triple barreling here probably super +ev

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QQ+ is such a natural check for him on the flop especially if after 152 hands he noticed your button clicking tendancies.

Pretty confident he c-c AK flop/turn. So when we stab flop we know we have the worst hand and we're commited to 3 barrels with 0 backdoor draw. I mean, come on, if you bet any BDFD you still have too much bluffs...

I get that you might flat with AA and KK here pre and take this line, but your average opponent at NL10 is not going to give you credit for that flatting preflop. The issue with this line is that you're just not representing anything on this board other than 77 or 55, or maybe JJ/QQ but you might check those hands on the turn sometimes.

Additionally I think that the villian could check an overpair on this board. Sure it was 100bbs deep they will bet JJ+ almost 100% of the time. But 250bbs deep they may want to just get whatever they have to showdown or induce bluffs. I agree with the poster above me said that if you are villian here with AA it is a really crappy spot to get raised on this particular flop.

Hate it. Pre is fine though this deep.

If you were 100bb deep I would like your bluff more(still don't like it because of positions and your selected hand. If you have to bet A2s chose one of the other 3 combos at least so you have a backdoor flushdraw on the flop)

200bb deep many villains will check overpairs on the flop since they want to keep the pot small in case you have 7x. Imo they do it too often. Probably because of an excessive fear of getting x/r 250bb deep eff (since you have more 7x and 55, although not often). So betting this size on the river is lighting money on fire imo. I expect villain to have an overpair big % of the time that will always call this size. If you wanna bluff river overbet. But please chose another hand.

The small % of time he doesn't have overpairs his range has a bunch of AK-combos. Since you only bet 50% flop+turn some villains calls twice with AK.

My suggestion if you want to bluff(not gonna mention which hands to chose) is to bet turn bigger. That way if he calls turn he is even more likely to have an overpair and you can easily give up river and save some money. Also if you had tripps+ wouldn't you change your sizings and go bigger???