I would like your thoughts on this -
- assuming we want to remain somewhat balanced on this flop when checked to, what should we be looking for to determine what ratios to check or bet, and within our betting range 'bluffs':'value'?
I have done some analysis below but not sure if this is good or not.
SB: €74.71
BB: €50.64
UTG: €51.75
MP: €68.87
Hero (CO): €50
BTN: €51.89
Preflop: Hero is CO with T
9
fold, fold, hero raises to €1.50, fold, fold, BB raises to €6.25, hero calls €4.25
Flop: (€12.75) 2
9
K
(2 players)
UTG checks, hero?
CO calling range vs a blind 3 bet is approx
QQ-77, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, AJo+, KQo
with AK/QQ being a mix but let's just flat these for this analysis
We have 121 combos on this flop -
value bets: AK (6), KQ (12), 99 (3) - 21 value combos
weak bluffs: TsJs, TcJc, ThJh (3), JQss, JQcc, JQhh, (3), QTss, QThh, QTcc (3) 78s (4), 88 (6), 77(6), TT (6), JJ (6) - 37 weak bluffs
strong bluffs: TJdd, QTdd, QJdd (3), AQdd, AJdd, ATdd (3), T9dd, 89dd - 8 strong bluffs
checks: KTs, KJs (6), QQ (6), 89ss, 89hh, 89cc, T9ss, T9cc, T9hh (6), AQ (12), AJ (12), AQss, AQcc, AQhh (3), AJss, AJhh, AJcc (3), AThh, ATss, AJcc (3) - 51 checks
So out of a range of 121 combos, I am checking back 51 and betting 66 (and 4 have gone missing somewhere) - I think this seems about right.
Of those 66 bets, 21 are very strong, 37 are weak bluffs but many of which have sdv even when called on the flop. Then we have some nut flush draws and flush+gutshot.
T9dd is a bet with very good equity. I can check the other 9x but these make good bets as well, I can reduce the bet size and bet some more hands- ?