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10NL Turn spot is hard 10NL Turn spot is hard

08-19-2018 , 11:35 PM
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem $0.10(BB)
BB ($10) [VPIP: 28% | PFR: 19.2% | AGG: 26.7% | 3-Bet: 13% | Hands: 219]
HERO ($12.43) [VPIP: 30% | PFR: 24.2% | AGG: 30% | 3-Bet: 10.1% | Hands: 22961]
CO ($10.15) [VPIP: 25.6% | PFR: 18% | AGG: 22.3% | 3-Bet: 7.8% | Hands: 391]
BTN ($8.35) [VPIP: 28.1% | PFR: 22.8% | AGG: 33.3% | 3-Bet: 5% | Hands: 60]
SB ($14.82) [VPIP: 58.3% | PFR: 41.7% | AGG: 50% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 12]

Dealt to Hero: K K

HERO Raises To $0.35, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Calls $0.25

Hero SPR on Flop: [12.87 effective]
Flop ($0.75): 8 Q T
BB Checks, HERO Bets $0.54 (Rem. Stack: 11.54), BB Calls $0.54 (Rem. Stack: 9.11)

Turn ($1.83): 8 Q T 2
BB Checks, HERO Bets $2.66 (Rem. Stack: 8.88), BB Raises To $9.11 (allin), HERO ?
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 02:46 AM
Don't think this is a turn to be overbetting. Aren't we supposed to OB when we have a big range advantage? Snapfold AP. Checking somewhere is probably fine.

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10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 06:57 AM
What hand are calling flop and raising turn which beat your KK? 88,TT, QT, Q8 and J9 would have raised the flop already. As played I would check flop. You will almost never get 3 streets of value when turn and river bricks out. So checking flop is the optimal play.

Considering the evaluation I made on the flop I would consider calling the turn. I think you are up vs FD with a gutshot from time to time. Maybe villain is overplaying AQ.

It is possible they have it but as played I think you are good most of the time.
I will put this hand in pokersnowie and look at the results because this is an interesting spot
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 07:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rikk
Don't think this is a turn to be overbetting. Aren't we supposed to OB when we have a big range advantage? Snapfold AP. Checking somewhere is probably fine.
We do have a substantial range advantage when villain just calls the flop.
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 07:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ojune
We do have a substantial range advantage when villain just calls the flop.
I know board is sopping wet and they don't want to give free cards but I'm not sure that villains wouldn't still slowplay some straights or sets (especially given OP's propensity to OB turns and never check overpairs), or whether we even should be autoraising all 2p+ in V's shoes. I know I wouldn't feel great raise/calling bottom 2 on this flop, but when hero OBs turn I don't think flatting seems that appealing to V either.

TLDR: I don't think we can assume too much about villain's range from the flop x/c.
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 07:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by thejoery
As played I would check flop. You will almost never get 3 streets of value when turn and river bricks out. So checking flop is the optimal play.
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 07:54 AM
i would bet all streets 2/3
isnt flop wet with many draws or i m totally blind?
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 08:14 AM
Call off the shove OP, I expect villain to have a ton of semi bluffs
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rikk
I don't think we can assume too much about villain's range from the flop x/c.
I know he is supposed to raise the vast majority of his strong hands because lots of turns uncap his range anyway. What he actually does, I do not know. An assumption I'm making is that villain is extremely unlikely to realize and apply the correct counter-strategy simply because overbets are rarely seen and the guy is playing 10nl.

And even then, for calling to be > to raising, op would have to be overbetting very frequently

Last edited by Ojune; 08-20-2018 at 08:20 AM.
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 12:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rikk
Don't think this is a turn to be overbetting. Aren't we supposed to OB when we have a big range advantage? Snapfold AP. Checking somewhere is probably fine.

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Snap fold? Villain's range is definitely weighted towards draws when he just calls the flop.
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 12:53 PM
This is not the kind of Flop that you Want to Cbet..

Check behind and probably calling the bet turn or Cbet turn and call the raise all in..

Either way.. you Will not fold this hand against the big blind..

Unless tou have a note about this villain never bluffing..
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 12:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
Snap fold? Villain's range is definitely weighted towards draws when he just calls the flop.
Didn't you say in another thread with a hand and board similar to this that the pool tendency to raise your OBs as a bluff was very low? Remember that you heavily block the most obvious draws.

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10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 01:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rikk
Didn't you say in another thread with a hand and board similar to this that the pool tendency to raise your OBs as a bluff was very low? Remember that you heavily block the most obvious draws.

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yeah it is but i think this spot is a little different since ranges are a lot more merged here. BB has the widest calling range preflop as well, so that also makes me lean towards a call.
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 01:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ULTRACURRY
This is not the kind of Flop that you Want to Cbet..

Check behind and probably calling the bet turn or Cbet turn and call the raise all in..

Either way.. you Will not fold this hand against the big blind..

Unless tou have a note about this villain never bluffing..
I feel like both checking and betting are both fine. If I was against let's say the BTN instead of the BB, checking is definitely better.
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 01:10 PM
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem $0.10(BB)
BB ($10) [VPIP: 27% | PFR: 18.5% | AGG: 26.7% | 3-Bet: 12.5% | Hands: 228]
HERO ($12.43) [VPIP: 30% | PFR: 24.2% | AGG: 30.1% | 3-Bet: 10.2% | Hands: 23281]
CO ($10.15) [VPIP: 24.6% | PFR: 17.5% | AGG: 21% | 3-Bet: 6.4% | Hands: 502]
BTN ($8.35) [VPIP: 30.7% | PFR: 22% | AGG: 29.4% | 3-Bet: 9.3% | Hands: 154]
SB ($14.82) [VPIP: 68.2% | PFR: 36.4% | AGG: 34.1% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 46]

Dealt to Hero: K K

HERO Raises To $0.35, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Calls $0.25

Hero SPR on Flop: [12.87 effective]
Flop ($0.75): 8 Q T
BB Checks, HERO Bets $0.54 (Rem. Stack: 11.54), BB Calls $0.54 (Rem. Stack: 9.11)

Turn ($1.83): 8 Q T 2
BB Checks, HERO Bets $2.66 (Rem. Stack: 8.88), BB Raises To $9.11 (allin), HERO Calls $6.45 (Rem. Stack: 2.43)

River ($20.05): 8 Q T 2 7

Spoiler:

BB shows: J 7

HERO wins: $19.05
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 02:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rikk
Don't think this is a turn to be overbetting. Aren't we supposed to OB when we have a big range advantage? Snapfold AP. Checking somewhere is probably fine.
I think that parts of hero's range can/should overbet the turn, but not this hand.
Straights, sets and combo draws would make more sense as overbets, since they have the equity to comfortably call if villain shoves. But you have a horrible decision with KK if villain jams, hence the thread.
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 02:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
yeah it is but i think this spot is a little different since ranges are a lot more merged here. BB has the widest calling range preflop as well, so that also makes me lean towards a call.
I think the results might be influencing your thinking slightly because I think the board in the other one was also draw heavy and you had aces instead of kings. J7dd should really be raising flop rather than floating so I think stuff like this will be cancelled out by the times V slowplays a better hand; they're both misplays.

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10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 04:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rikk
I think the results might be influencing your thinking slightly because I think the board in the other one was also draw heavy and you had aces instead of kings. J7dd should really be raising flop rather than floating so I think stuff like this will be cancelled out by the times V slowplays a better hand; they're both misplays.

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That’s fair. Check turn might be a good option as well but I’m not 100%
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 09:17 PM
I like betting the turn here and I think calling the shove is good. I think this player floats the flop with a lot of hands and he has a lot of bluffs here.


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10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 09:25 PM
Quote:
10NL Turn spot is hard
Seems like you figured it out.

Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
Snap fold? Villain's range is definitely weighted towards draws when he just calls the flop.
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 09:55 PM
3/4 turn seems better to me, I don't see the point of the overbet unless it's to induce spaz or villain is a calling station and will call with worse.

I would call ott, villains line doesn't make sense.
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-20-2018 , 10:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by .isolated
Seems like you figured it out.
Haha if I figured it out I wouldn’t be at 10NL but thanks for the insight
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-21-2018 , 04:40 AM
seems close
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-21-2018 , 07:18 AM
3/4 flop and turn :
Do not think vilain would only call a set or str8 on the flop so unless you noticed it I think we have to call on the turn
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote
08-21-2018 , 08:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
I feel like both checking and betting are both fine. If I was against let's say the BTN instead of the BB, checking is definitely better.
Exactly, but overral I would check, it will be easyer to play the hand..
10NL Turn spot is hard Quote

      
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