Quote:
Originally Posted by ctownballer03
In terms of pre-flop raising, I disagree. Very dependent on the table. 20 is at the high end of preflop raises that consistently get action. 15 is the norm. 25 is quite uncommon and less likely to get any action.
In regards to bold, why so?
You win money in poker by forcing opponents to make a mistake.
You bet 20 into 49 on the flop and 30 into 89 on the turn, or a combined 50 to win 99. If your bets are consistently small, his combined odds for the flop and turn calls are essentially 2:1, meaning he needs 33% equity to call you down.
The key to improving in poker is not to look at your hand vs. his hand, but your range vs. his range. There are many hands in his range on this board texture that are going to have more than 33% equity against your specific holding, and even more that will have more than 33% equity against your range. If you aren't causing him to make a mistake vs. your range in this spot, you aren't making money in the long run.
The only reason to bet small here is if you had a specific reason to believe it would induce a bluff-raise or semi-bluff raise as opposed to simply taking advantage of the pot odds your mini-bets were allowing. Because it's opponent-specific, I don't like doing it without some specific type of read, especially in a live 1-3 game, where the default read is that most villains are more likely to call to wide than to bluff to wide, especially vs. an unknown.