Quote:
Originally Posted by BeLikeWater
Yeah the final tables have had sick payouts but I think they make it a little too top heavy. I’ll be playing the mystery today. No idea how many runners they’ll get but I doubt I’ll fire more than 1 bullet. Especially since I’m tired from playing the Saturday series all day yesterday.
I’m curious, what’s the strategy if you make day 2? I guess you want to try and bust ppl to get those bounties? Probably gonna be some donkeys calling off super light.
You want to estimate the average value of a bounty, and convert that money number to a tournament chip equivalent. For example, let's say a traditional bounty tournament started you with 30K chips, $100 of your buyin went to the regular prize pool, and $100 was a bounty. That means a bounty of $100 is equal in value to 30K in chips. Then, when playing a pot, if you cover somebody, you just pretend there's an extra 30K in chips to be won. If I get short-stacked, and shove allin for 10K, you have to call 10K to effectively win 40K.
In a mystery bounty, you can calculate the value of the average bounty at the start of day 2, and do the same conversion. Let's assume the same numbers, $100 and $100. If you're down to 10% of the field on day 2, the average bounty is $1,000, equal in value to 300K chips. It's just that when you bust somebody, you might win only $100 (30K chip equivalency), or you might win $10,000 (3M chip equivalency). And, as people take bounties off the board, you can adjust your estimate of the average cash value of the remaining bounties, and also adjust the chip equivalent value.
Having said all that, mystery bounty tournaments are silly, at least to me. It's as if somebody decided that tournament poker doesn't have enough variance. Let's figure out a way to make the variance even higher. LOL. YMMV.
Cheers, Greg Raymer (FossilMan)