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[2,20, Progressive KO, Turbo] multiway all-in pre [2,20, Progressive KO, Turbo] multiway all-in pre

10-06-2018 , 10:10 AM
Hello there, my HuD doesn't save hands, so I apologize in advance for the HH. I posted this hand to a friend and said "sometimes, it's so hard to not be results oriented. I make a discplined fold and PS immediately punishes me". He then replied that this was a clear call to him and we discussed a little back and forth. So we would like to hear an opinion from other players on the matter:

Blinds 50/100, Ante 12

UTG (3757)
UTG +2 (3302)
Hero. MP+1 (5827) with J J
CO (2546)
SB (1416)

Preflop:
UTG raises to 226, fold, UTG+2 calls, fold, Hero calls,
CO raises to 2546 and is all.in,
fold
SB calls 1416 and is all-in
fold
UTG raises to 3757 and is all-in
UTG +2 calls and is all-in

Pot 8429, Hero folds.

At that time non of the players seemed to be out of line, except for the SB which I tagged as a too loose passive type of player.

I didn't run equities during the hand, but I believed that with this preflop action, I could be reasonably sure that at least one of the hands involved was QQ+ or two players had AK,AQ type hands. This led me to believe, that I was flipping at best against either CO or UTG and trying to hold up against whatever hands the other players would show up with.

I ran the following sim afterwards just to get an idea. I don't know enough about CO/UTG, so I gave them wider ranges, then I actually believe they have.

ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
Jh Jc23.54% 136,7869,804
JJ+, AK35.09% 203,91914,238
30%14.42% 82,1899,675
30%14.46% 82,4489,623
*12.49% 72,4485,889
In this sim, I would have slightly enough equity to call. My friend says with the bounty equities, It is always a clear call.

When I do however run the actual hands (which happen to match what I estimated), it looks like this:

ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation
850,668 trials (Exhaustive)
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
Jh Jc16.03% 135,7383,010
Kc Kh36.67% 310,6444,362
Kd Qd8.94% 73,8566,202
As Qs23.04% 194,4384,850
Tc Ts15.33% 129,7903,010
So at first, I was sure, I made the right decision. Now however, I do have a closer look. The stacksizes vary considerably and I cover everybody. So even, if CO is widely ahead against me, I still have considerable sidepots with UTG and UTG +2. Considering bounties and that we are fairly early, is this a call?

Spoiler:

board
J A J 7 4
UTG A Q
UTG +2 T T
CO K K
SB K Q
[2,20, Progressive KO, Turbo] multiway all-in pre Quote

      
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