It's a super tough call for me but as I look at it it should come easy. When we check river, he has to know there's some AK/KJ in our range here, maybe even AA. We are face up, it's a great play w/ AQ/QJ because we never have the Q when we check here and can be fairly inelastic. In fact I probably fold to a 2/3-psb in this spot. He just tried to rep the boat which he would have never checked 2 pair+ on the turn.
I guess the question is, from V standpoint, should we jam our Qx when we get to this spot?
Whilst I'm a big fan of overbets in general - I don't think this is a spot for a 3x pot sized jam (especially when most of his Qx bets turn I'd imagine). Villain here is just going FPS here imo.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SHIP_DAT
When we check river, he has to know there's some AK/KJ in our range here, maybe even AA. We are face up, it's a great play w/ AQ/QJ because we never have the Q when we check here and can be fairly inelastic.
I guess the question is, from V standpoint, should we jam our Qx when we get to this spot?
Also, I can't say I agree with this. Pretty tough for us to show up with AK and I can't really imagine we'd have too many combos of AA. We can also have tonnes of Qx in our range (although you're right we probably would have bet it on the river when we hit trips).
To answer your question, no, the more I think about it from V's POV the more I hate it.
You've shown absolutely no interest in the pot postflop, why would villain overbet jam the river with Qx? Plus your BB defense range is quite wide and doesn't hit that board often.