Quote:
Originally Posted by Daut44
i read about the first 150 posts in the thread and stopped before the last 40 ish.
i think you guys underestimate how big downswings can be online. i think a 200k downswing now playing a normal schedule of high buyin mtts with the scoops/ftops/wcoops and maybe a few random live tourneys mixed in like monte carlo, wsop main, pca is not a 7sigma below expectation run bad anymore. this is not even talking about playing the live circuit where buyins are much higher.
This is pretty true. I remember when I first started playing HSMTT's in 2006, the average Sunday did not have: Brawl, 2 FTP 150's, 150r, 100c, Mulligan, 100r turbo, Stars 500, 100 quad, 50r, or 200r. The FTOPS had just run for the 1st time and wasn't nearly as expensive as it is now. There were also no weekly 1k's (there are 3 now). You can do the math on how much this adds to your weekly buyins. 20k used to be a bad downer in online mtt's over a decent sized sample; now it's like 1 bad week.
It should also be noted how most of the tournies weren't nearly as big as they are now: Warmup and 2nd Chance were un-guaranteed & getting 1/2 as much as they do now; 100r got 400 ppl on Sunday; the FTP Sunday major was a 350k guarantee.
With smaller fields, smaller buyins, and ppl not playing "unexploitably"/bat**** insane variance styles yet, it's pretty easy to see why so many more players go on humongous downers in short time spans now than they used to.