In February I decided to make the transition to MTT's as my sole game. I've heard that it can take around 1000 games for stats to reveal your win rates, results etc. That said there's one trend I've noticed in my results that I'd like some feedback on. My ITM stat after 61 games is 29%. It will be a bit lower once Sharkscope shows my four games from yesterday where I missed the money in all four games. The scenario that seems to happen frequently is I will often be in the top 10% for the first few hours. Then the third and final hour of the re-entry period comes (ACR) and the blinds go up and I bust before late registration ends.

In a lot of these structures the blinds will grow slowly then the 1000/500 level hits and then it goes 1500/750 and 2000/1000. In a matter of 30 minutes or so my top 10-20% stack drops down to 20-30bb and I'm in the same spot as half the field. I feel like there's something in that period of time that I'm either doing wrong or maybe not and it's just the nature of their MTT structure.

That aside over this tiny sample I'm beating about 48% of the field with the average field size of nearly 500. With re-entries there's usually about 700-800 buyins total though. My overall results have been fantastic so maybe I'm overanalyzing it. I started with a $100 deposit and grinded the $1-$3 games. Right now the bankroll is over $1,200 with an ABI just shy of $5.

I don't know, is there anything to gather from the details I've shared? I know it's a small sample but I feel like that third hour is getting me and I'm leaving money on the table.

you played 69 mtts that doesnt mean anything
http://www.pokerdope.com/tournament-...ce-calculator/
play around with this thing for a bit then you see what variance in mtts can be

I realize the sample is too small to begin to form a conclusion. I think I muddied the waters so to speak on what I was looking at. The main inquiry is regarding the specific period in these MTT's where I'm at a healthy 70-80bbs sitting in the top 10% of the field and then my stack frequently dissipates in the three blind levels from 1000/500, 1500/750, and 2000/1000. This is where the levels really start to increase before leveling off again like the beginning stages in the first two hours.

The reason I included my overall stats is my results have been good in this short span. I just wonder if these levels it's common for stacks to fluctuate a lot and lose ground on the field and there's adjustments that should be made during this 36 minute period.

Thank you for the variance calculator though. I've seen it before and will play around with it.

cliffs: ACR has terrible blind structures with huge jumps in blind levels. The av stack at that critical blind period is a lot lower then the mtts on other sites hence making it very hard to maintain a big stack. Also with the blinds going up, with huge jump increases unless you are constantly picking up big hands/knocking people out a couple of orbits with not much happening will drop ur av stack from 50BB to 25BB just like that.

Other sites blinds go up slower, blind jumps are a lot lower, easier to maintain a big stack.

That's good to know. Levels 16-18 are massive jumps compared to the earlier levels, then it tapers down a tad. This segment of their MTT's really stood out and it left me scratching my head not knowing any better.

As I type this I'm currently in level 18 in my last MTT of the night one off the stone bubble.

Are there any adjustments that one might recommend during these stages?

I like the big jumps. The hands/decisions that swing your win rate the most come late in tournaments, so I'd rather get to those stages sooner. Spending less time in the early stages = way better hourly.

If you want more deep-stacked play, play cash.

what I gathered from the details you shared is that you dont really realize how huge variance in mtts are. Also, if you think you are having trouble at 20-30bb stack you know what you could do? Focus on that exact thing