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Huge ICM pressure Huge ICM pressure

01-28-2018 , 12:11 PM
Not sure if the is the right place to post this but here goes
It’s a live 10 player satellite, buy in 550$, blinds go up every 20 minutes. There are two seats to a 2500$ event.
There are 3 players left at the table, blinds 300/600 with a 100 anti
Both players had been very active, calling all ins too light, but I had been able to steal a lot of blinds.

Hero -9000 in the big blind
Small blind -5000
Button - 6000
I pick up kings in the big blind and the small blinds jams. Because of icm and I would be the lowest chip stack if I lose, should I just fold and continue to pick up blinds until one of them takes out the other one. I know it seems insane to fold kings but the icm is so great and I feel like I have less risk just letting them go at each other.
Huge ICM pressure Quote
01-28-2018 , 12:36 PM
Nah, its a very clear and unequivocal call. You have 70+% equity to win the hand and the satellite. Plus even if you call and lose, you still have about 35-40% chance to make it. So, that is around 85% chance to make it if you call.

Your chances of making it if you fold are much lower. Sorry you lost.

P.S. If it was 8 people left and 7 spots, then it would be a fold.
Huge ICM pressure Quote
01-29-2018 , 08:18 AM
Since the SB is the shortest stack, he is suppose to shove the lightest there and to fold KK would be a mistake.

You say that your opponent was active, so if I give him this shoving range:


Then you can call this:

Last edited by abecede; 01-29-2018 at 08:19 AM. Reason: img edit
Huge ICM pressure Quote
02-05-2018 , 05:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by abecede
Since the SB is the shortest stack, he is suppose to shove the lightest there and to fold KK would be a mistake.

You say that your opponent was active, so if I give him this shoving range:


Then you can call this:
That chart is way off in the other direction (does not consider ICM). While KK or even JJ is a fist pump call, calling with KT or 55 like the chart above suggests would be a mistake.
Huge ICM pressure Quote
02-06-2018 , 04:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AALegend
That chart is way off in the other direction (does not consider ICM). While KK or even JJ is a fist pump call, calling with KT or 55 like the chart above suggests would be a mistake.
ditto, instead press charts and see how the shoving range changes your calling range, try to give him something decent, KK is a snap. Making a under $2 call on $2550 bubble has to be bananas.
Huge ICM pressure Quote
02-13-2018 , 10:48 PM
Def I wouldn't fold in that spot
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