HI guys I am on a big downswing, don't know if I am that bad player, but I believe 400BI is a lot.

So, over 350k hands My BB/100 stats is 3.4 and my All in Adj BB/100 is 9.2.

Does it mean something? Am I running bad or what can it suggest.

Yep ,bad player i think 400 BI is a lot.30 buy in is still is fish infested so u must have big edge over them .I have 8/100 bb all in adjusted and im breakeven at micros/low which is bad and variance here is much bigger.

I don't care how good you are; if over 350k hands you re running 6bb/100 bellow expectation, you re going to have trouble winning. Having said that, such variance looks otherwordly and I haven't seen anything like it. Are you sure the numbers are correct?

well, MTT variance is a *****, thats why pros is quiting poker actually.

bb/100 EV isn't the be-all-end-all... That just shows that you are running bad in all-in situations, majority of those spots are coolers anyway. You can run KK into AA a bunch of times and the EV line will tell you that ran 20% below EV, which is true because 20% of the time you will win that spot. I still think you might have a ton of leaks in your game that put you in these circumstances where you kinda have to win that flip in order to stay alive. Don't get me wrong, there are a ton of flip situations in MTTs until you reach the final table and further. I would suggest working on the spots that happen all the time, and probably you miss on good opportunities to check/raise bluff/thin value, or double/tripple barrel bluff/thin value. Those are the spots to focus on because those are the bread and butter scenarios.

I have a friend who constantly complains about him running bad in his all-in scenarios and blames the bad luck for not being as successful as other pros, but I keep reminding him that bad all-in situations will happen always, regardless whether or not you pay attention to them.

Keep working on situations you can control.

Yes it is correct. I know a have leaks and dont play perfect game for sure, but wanted to know if these stats suggest that I run below expectations.

This is a SC of pt4 https://imgur.com/a/M7ohCjR

Look. By default when your all in adjusted says you should be winning 9BB/100 and you are winning 3BB/100, you are running well bellow expectation.

However, this is a very decent sample and there are a lot of things that seem off and perplexing to me. Your most profitable position should be the Button and yet you re winning more from the CO and even more from the HJ. Your worst position should be the BB and yet you re losing less there than you do at the SB with an all in number which at least to my eyes seems to good to be true. Only -10BB/100 from the BB is otherwordly, I doubt Phil Ivey manages that. Or maybe I suck and I am wrong, I don't know. All of your run bad can be attributed to the UTG position in which you are expecting to win 20BB/100 and yet you are losing 34BB/100. 20BB/100 is too good for UTG. A discrepancy of 54 BB/100 over 43,000 hands seems extraordinary to me.

In my data, such big discrepancies cease to be after 10-20k hands, I never seen such discrepancies over 350k hands.

So my guess is that something is off. Maybe you have played some tournaments with absurdly deep stacks of 1000 BBs and you run bad in 4-5 pots when you were UTG, while conversely running very well when you were deep in the BB. Maybe something screwed the data.

What I suggest is to try filtering with dates and stack depths until you figure out a specific period or stack depth in which you ran good or bad and you can get a better idea of the nature of the runbad.

My guess is your numbers are heavily influenced by some very deep stacked tourneys. It could be something else, i don't know.

PS. Maybe start a new database and import hand histories piecemally to see if those stats are replicated.

OP have you ever played Ante Up Tournaments? Make sure you filter them out.

One ft or even just a deeprun in a big field ante up mtt is enough to screw your bb/100 stat even with a >100k hand sample

UTG is way off, filter your hands by stack size

Thanks, now it makes more sense. I filtered the stack depth between 0-100bb and now my all-in adj bb is 3.6/100

400 bi swing is not that unusual