Bubblefactor
Currently I am working on my gameplan for a weekly live tourney in my local casino. 40 player event with first seven places getting paid. In the 2+2 forum I found a very interesting post regarding bubblefactors for even final 2, 3 and 4 tables, quite relevant for this particular event
https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/1...ctors-1504943/
Pokerstars 45m $1 (7 paid).
2 1.0000 3 1.3428 4 1.5596 5 1.7136 6 1.8143 7 1.8687 8 2.0433 9 1.8075
FT2 10 1.6587 11 1.5562 12 1.4813 13 1.4242 14 1.3792 15 1.3428 16 1.3128 17 1.2876 18 1.2662
FT3 19 1.2478 20 1.2317 21 1.2176 22 1.2051 23 1.1940 24 1.1840 25 1.1750 26 1.1668 27 1.1594
FT4 28 1.1526 29 1.1463 30 1.1406 31 1.1353 32 1.1303 33 1.1257 34 1.1215 35 1.1175 36 1.1137
FT5 37 1.1102 38 1.1069 39 1.1038 40 1.1009 41 1.0981 42 1.0955 43 1.0930 44 1.0907 45 1.0884
My targeted event is quite old fashioned, playing all the way without antes. Therefore a preflop shove is winning a lot less and risking a lot more than usual. Nevertheless, to make the further discussion more realistic for standard tourney play, in my following calculations i will include an ante of 0,9 BB
So, how do I take consideration of a bubblefactor of say 1.2 by evaluating my needed calling equity vs villains shoving range? Say villain is shoving effective 11BB in my BigBlind, how much equity do I need for a profitable call against his shoving range (profitable in the sense of tournament equity, not chips of course)? Two solutions come to mind:
1.) Dividing the full pot by the bubblefactor. After calling we produce a pot of 22 + 0.5SB + 0.9 antes = 23.4BB. Divided by the BF 1.2 = 19.5. We need to invest 10BB to win 19.5. Needed showdown equity therefore at least 51.3%
2.) Dividing only the pot before calling by the bubblefactor. Before calling there is a pot of 11 + 2.4 blinds and antes = 13.4BB. Divided by the BF 1.2 = 11.17. We need to invest 10BB to generate and win a pot of then 21.17 BB. Needed showdown equity in this calculation is dropping to 47.2%
For a start, I would appreciate any help and suggestion by calculating the bubblefactor regarding needed calling equity. After solving this issue, more questions will follow ...