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WSOP 2022 Predictions Game WSOP 2022 Predictions Game

05-28-2022 , 04:16 AM
So the WSOP is staring in a couple of days and I thought I'd run a little game about it.

Send me some answers to the following questions and I'll score them once we know the answers.

FYI I'll be playing but have not followed poker closely for a number of years and so my answers will likely be way off. Don't feel like this is a game for hard-core poker fans. Just submit a few answers with little thought and have a bit of fun.

Yes or No Section

1. Will Phil Hellmuth win a bracelet?
2. Will Daniel Negreanu make at least 2 final tables?
3. Will Adam Friedman final table the 10k Dealers Choice event?
4. Will Mike Matusow get a 5 figure cash or better?
5. Will Doyle Brunson play an event?
6. Will a woman win an open bracelet event?
7. Will there be a two time bracelet winner?
8. Will someone from Asia win a bracelet?
9. Will someone from Africa reach a final table?
10. Will someone with more than one million dollars in tournament cashes make it to the Main Event final table?

Who Section
1. Who will cash for the most this year?
2. Who will score the most POY points?
3. Who will reach the most final tables this year?
4. Who will cash the most times this year?
5. Which former Main Event champ will last longest in the Main Event this year?

Numbers Section
1. Most total entries in a single event?
2. Oldest open bracelet winner (years only)?
3. How many entries in the 50k Poker Players Championship?
4. How many people will play the Main Event?
5. How many million dollar plus payouts will there be?
6. Youngest player to reach the Main Event final table (years only)?
7. Largest number of cashes by a single player?
8. Best finishing position of a former Main Event champion in the Main Event?
9. Best finishing position of a woman in the Main Event?
10. Biggest first prize compared to entry fee? (Send me how many times bigger it will be/multiplier)

Scoring rules for anyone who cares
Spoiler:


There are 3 sections which will be scored separately and then combined to give your overall ranking.

Yes or No Section. Your rank in this section will be based on your score out of 10. 1 point for last place, 2 points for second to last etc.

Who Section. Your rank for this section will be based on your score out of 5. 1 point for last place, 2 points for second to last etc.

Numbers Section. Each question will generate rankings based on your absolute distance from the correct answer. Each question will get you a score based on your rank. Total score will determine your overall rank in this section and will generate a score. 1 point for last, 2 points for second to last etc.

Overall winner will be determined by the sum of your 3 section scores.


If you have questions about something that's not clear to you then ask them in thread or suffer the wrath of a potentially unfavorable ruling.

PM ME YOUR ANSWERS, PREFERABLY IN AN UNNUMBERED, UNSPACED LIST WITH NO ADDITIONAL MESSAGE.

FEEL FREE TO CROSS POST THIS IN OTHER COMMUNITIES/SUB FORUMS, BUT I WILL ONLY ACCEPT ENTRIES FROM PMS FROM 2+2 ACCOUNTS.

THERE IS NO MONEY INVOLVED IN THIS GAME, IT'S JUST FOR FUN. I AM NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANYONE MAKING SIDE BETS ON THE OUTCOME OF THIS GAME.

Last edited by xander biscuits; 05-28-2022 at 04:21 AM.
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
05-28-2022 , 04:41 AM
My entry is in and it's not changing even if major events would normally dictate than a change is +EV

Glgl everyone.
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
05-28-2022 , 04:42 AM
Oh and get your entry in by cards in the air for event 1 or it won't count.
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
05-28-2022 , 09:53 AM
are you using all events?
even online?
even non-open?
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
05-28-2022 , 10:05 AM
All events count unless it specifies open events.

Online events count.

If it's a who question then online counts as long as names are revealed.
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
05-31-2022 , 12:49 AM
in
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
05-31-2022 , 03:01 AM
7 in so far.

About 11 hours still to get in.
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
05-31-2022 , 02:18 PM
Entries closed

I'll do a write up later on
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
05-31-2022 , 04:14 PM
i just entered. sorry 1.5 hours post closing.
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
06-01-2022 , 06:58 PM
Here are the entries:

xander biscuitsjmmj05pwnsallSootedPowaWilbury TwistveskuFerencLBulltexasATMhousenuts
YesnoNoNoNoNonoNono
YesyesYesYesYesYesyesYesyes
YesyesNoNoNoNonoNono
YesyesYesYesNoYesyesYesno
YesyesNoYesYesYesnoNoyes
YesnoNoYesYesYesyes Nono
YesyesYesYesYesYesyesYesyes
YesyesNoYesYesYesyesNoyes
YesnoNoYesYesYesno Noyes
YesyesYesNoNoYesyesYesyes
Stephen ChidwickDaniel NegreanuChris Ferguson Shaun DeebDaniel NegreanuStephen ChidwickStephen ChidwickDaniel NegreanuDaniel Negreanu
Stephen ChidwickDaniel NegreanuBen yuShaun DeebShaun DeebStephen ChidwickShaun DeebShaun DeebDaniel Negreanu
Benny GlaserDaniel NegreanuDaniel NegreanuShaun DeebDaniel NegreanuStephen ChidwickStephen ChidwickDaniel NegreanuDaniel Negreanu
Jeremy AusmusShaun DeebScott clementsShaun DeebRyan LaplanteStephen ChidwickDaniel NegreanuAllen KesslerDaniel Negreanu
Greg RaymerPhil HellmuthJoe CadaKoray AldemirRyan RiessJoe McKeehenJoe McKeehenJoe HachemJoe Cada
172342856921000555512144250001283780008890
726148626357565359
408622057721308574125
750081238600602375447800753776006942
341794411313334188
242722232424222422
20172324179181310
7025638693154576236
10933421205553711421
200111112000667110025002037100750

I'll do more detailed, question by question specifics analysis in the coming days.

glgl everyone
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
06-02-2022 , 06:26 AM
Yes or No Section

1. Will Phil Hellmuth win a bracelet?

1 yes
8 no

2. Will Daniel Negreanu make at least 2 final tables?

9 yes

3. Will Adam Friedman final table the 10k Dealers Choice event?

2 yes
7 no

4. Will Mike Matusow get a 5 figure cash or better?

7 yes
2 no

5. Will Doyle Brunson play an event?

6 yes
3 no

6. Will a woman win an open bracelet event?

5 yes
4 no

7. Will there be a two time bracelet winner?

9 yes

8. Will someone from Asia win a bracelet?

7 yes
2 no

9. Will someone from Africa reach a final table?

5 yes
4 no

10. Will someone with more than one million dollars in tournament cashes make it to the Main Event final table?

7 yes
2 no

Nice mix of opinions.

My strategy was that it's more fun to root for things than against them and you'll also have a longer sweat.
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
06-02-2022 , 09:44 AM
In hindsight I should have made questions where there was more than 1 correct answer. Stuff like "who will win a bracelet?" and "Who will cash at least 10 times?" etc.

Predicting a lot of 0 for 5 in this round and a lot of tied rankings.

Oh well.

Who Section

1. Who will cash for the most this year?

Daniel Negreanu x4
Stephen Chidwick x3
Chris Ferguson
Shaun Deeb

2. Who will score the most POY points?

Shaun Deeb x 4
Stephen Chidwick x2
Daniel Negreanu x2
Ben Yu

3. Who will reach the most final tables this year?

Daniel Negreanu x5
Stephen Chidwick x2
Shaun Deeb
Benny Glaser

4. Who will cash the most times this year?

Daniel Negreanu x2
Shaun Deeb x2
Jeremy Ausmus
Allen Kessler
Stephen Chidwick
Scott Clements
Ryan Laplante

5. Which former Main Event champ will last longest in the Main Event this year?

Joe McKeehan x2
Joe Cada x2
Joe Hachem
Phil Hellmuth
Ryan Reiss
Greg Raymer
Koray Aldemir

I think the people with Deeb and Negreanu have the best shot at scoring some points in this thing. Lot of the other guesses are people swinging wild.

I predict the best someone will do is get 2 right and most people will get none right.
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
06-02-2022 , 04:19 PM
i just threw total guesses. my 188 million dollar cashes seems like an outlier.
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
06-03-2022 , 07:18 AM
1. Most total entries in a single event?

SootedPowa5555
BulltexasATM8000
housenuts8890
Wilbury Twist12144
FerencL12837
xander biscuits17234
pwnsall21000
vesku25000
jmmj0528569


Biggest ever event was the Big50 in 2019 which had 28,371 entries. jmmj05 thinks we're going to break records.

SootedPowa is less optimistic. The 2005 Main Event had more entries than he guessed.
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
06-05-2022 , 02:25 PM
Event #5 currently at 12,869.
They need a power failure in Vegas so they can't sell any more entries.
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
06-06-2022 , 01:03 PM
Adam Friedman busted the 10k Dealer's Choice on day 1 meaning no 4 wins in a row and the answer to question 3 is no.

Everyone except me and jmmj05 gets one correct.
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
06-09-2022 , 05:13 PM
20,080 entrants in the Housewarming event which is extremely likely to be the best attended tournament

Here are the provisional rankings for that question:

RankPlayerGuessError Margin
 ANSWER200800
1pwnsall21000920
2xander biscuits172342846
3vesku250004920
4FerencL128377243
5Wilbury Twist121447936
6jmmj05285698489
7housenuts889011190
8BulltexasATM800012080
9SootedPowa555514525
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
06-19-2022 , 06:20 AM
Sorry for the lack of updates, but busy life and all those other excuses.

Let's make up for it by having an update now...
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
06-19-2022 , 06:34 AM
1. Will Phil Hellmuth win a bracelet? - Not happened yet

2. Will Daniel Negreanu make at least 2 final tables? Final table count currently at 0

3. Will Adam Friedman final table the 10k Dealers Choice event? Did not happen. He won a bracelet elsewhere but did not FT this one. NO

4. Will Mike Matusow get a 5 figure cash or better? He's had 2 of them!! $16,165 in the 10k 08 and $17,010 in the Flip N Go YES

5. Will Doyle Brunson play an event? Don't think so. Please correct me if I'm wrong

6. Will a woman win an open bracelet event? Kate Kopp won the CLOSED Casino Employees Event which doesn't count. Nothing else of note from a woman yet. I'm probably wrong, but I haven't even noticed any final tables.

7. Will there be a two time bracelet winner? Not yet, but it usually happens towards the end for obvious reasons.

8. Will someone from Asia win a bracelet? Tong Li from Shaghia in China won the 25k PLO. Last I checked China was in Asia YES

9. Will someone from Africa reach a final table? All quiet on the African front. Have not noticed a single African flag on any of the updates. Anything could happen but it's not seeming likely as things stand.

10. Will someone with more than one million dollars in tournament cashes make it to the Main Event final table? We'll have to wait to find out...
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
06-19-2022 , 06:38 AM
Yes or No Section current standings:

RankPlayerPoints
1vesku3
1FerencL3
1SootedPowa3
4pwnsall2
4xander biscuits2
4Wilbury Twist2
4jmmj052
4housenuts2
4BulltexasATM2
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
06-19-2022 , 07:00 AM
1. Who will cash for the most this year? The Hendon Mob isn't counting bounties and therefore neither am I (which disadvantages me)

Daniel Negreanu x4 $62, 456
Stephen Chidwick x3 $44,253
Chris Ferguson $0
Shaun Deeb $203,414

2. Who will score the most POY points?

Shaun Deeb x 4 27th
Stephen Chidwick x2 Not in the top 100
Daniel Negreanu x2 Not in the top 100
Ben Yu Not in the top 100

3. Who will reach the most final tables this year?

Daniel Negreanu x5 0 so far
Stephen Chidwick x2 0 so far
Shaun Deeb 1 so far
Benny Glaser 1 so far

4. Who will cash the most times this year?

Daniel Negreanu x2 2 so far
Shaun Deeb x2 8 so far
Jeremy Ausmus 2 so far
Allen Kessler 3 so far
Stephen Chidwick 1 so far
Scott Clements 0 so far
Ryan Laplante 3 so far

5. Which former Main Event champ will last longest in the Main Event this year?

Joe McKeehan x2 ???
Joe Cada x2 ???
Joe Hachem ???
Phil Hellmuth ???
Ryan Reiss ???
Greg Raymer ???
Koray Aldemir ???
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
06-19-2022 , 12:17 PM
I think the best an African has come to a final table is an 11th by South Africa in a NLH.

On the distaff side, Von Altizer was leading her final table in event #20 pretty much all the way but finished 2nd.

I wonder how pwnsall is doing here? He/she looks like the only one with a chance to get the $200 bonus.
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
06-22-2022 , 09:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FerencL
I think the best an African has come to a final table is an 11th by South Africa in a NLH.

On the distaff side, Von Altizer was leading her final table in event #20 pretty much all the way but finished 2nd.

I wonder how pwnsall is doing here? He/she looks like the only one with a chance to get the $200 bonus.

Raymond Rahme from South Africa finished the 2007 Main Event in 3rd place - https://www.wsop.com/players/profile/?playerid=34525
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
07-07-2022 , 04:08 PM
Gee, not looking so good for giving away that $200 to anyone who can win this one and my 12 country WSOP pool.
Looks like pwnsall or xander in my pool
However, look at xander's solid set of "yes"s in the yes/no here.
Look at the players picked by pwnsall.
Does not look good.
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote
07-26-2022 , 12:02 PM
Isn't that darn WSOP over yet?
WSOP 2022 Predictions Game Quote

      
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