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WEREWOLF 1 WEREWOLF 1

04-06-2006 , 09:03 AM
I vote for 4_2_it
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:03 AM
I've got some random hunches, but yeah I'll wait and see what others say.
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:05 AM
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and we should look at those who really got the bobbyi vote going...maybe not the 1st/2nd person but the 3rd/4th who made it a bandwagon
My thoughts exactly
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:05 AM
karpinski seems kinda suspicious saying it's "100% obvious bobbyi is a werewolf"

i believe that bobby's talking made him >20% likely, which was better than choosing a random, but 100% is a little extreme...and we all know wolves are extreme...
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:06 AM
I feel like people are afraid of posting though because they might get targeted, which is what screwed Bobby. Only discussion will give clues.
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:07 AM
I vote for Piz0wn0reD!!!!!! sorry you freakin lycan
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:07 AM
I am thinking about changing my vote to zephed( he hasnt made a reply here yet), but would wolf be dumb enough not to post in this thread at all, by bringing suspicion to himself.

Or it must be one of the people who was pushing very hard for bobbyi to get killed.

Also we must figure out why, wolfs select who they select to get killed.
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:08 AM
yes, the more u talk, the more u are viewed as suspicious by villagers and a threat by wolves; so your odds of dying are pretty strongly correlated to your amount of posts and amount of actual post content

which means we're screwed
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:10 AM
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I vote for 4_2_it
I am an honest villager. Yes, I'm a dirtbag for shacking up with Bobbyi's wife, but I'm no werewolf.

I still think that at least one of the silent ones is a wolf. Not all the wolves will post here until we narrow their numbers.

Bobbyi made a mistake claiming to be the angel. I will make no claim because the wolves monitor this board. I will only say that we should not kill anyone who has posted here today.
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:12 AM
also, beware those who post but don't really say anything; they may be posting to not get voted on due to no voting, but won't say much about the game or strategy for fear of hurting a teammate or making it obvious later on in the game once some wolves are luckily killed
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:12 AM
Players: 18 outstanding votes
4_2_it (1 vote)
Andrew Karpinski
d10
Evans67
jba
jesusarenque
keikiwai
Kramer.
Macdaddy Warsaw
mic_check12
mowz
nation
Nicholasp27
Piz0wn0reD!!!!!! (1 vote)
pudley4
rbdog
Sightless voted for 4_2_it
tightplay
Toe-Knee voted for Piz0wn0reD!!!!!!
zephed
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:21 AM
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also, beware those who post but don't really say anything; they may be posting to not get voted on due to no voting, but won't say much about the game or strategy for fear of hurting a teammate or making it obvious later on in the game once some wolves are luckily killed
Good point. We need to give seer time to narrow down the list of werewolves. Odds are he has eliminated two from contention already. If we are lucky, he has spotted a wolf.

The best wolf strategy would be to have one or two wolves post on the board, but not be ringleaders unless a wolf was about to be lynched. They will most likely vote without a reason or much discussion.

However, at least one or two wolves will not have posted yet. They have 'no alibi' for last night. I am in favor of singling out someone who has not posted as yet.

Realize, that the wolves will change their strategy once they read this. We can discuss what this likely change will be tomorrow and hopefully identify ourselves a wolf.

On a side note, Shaggy and Scooby have set up a fool-proof wolf trap that cannot fail, so we can sleep well tonight.
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:27 AM
i believe that 3-5 of the wolves voted for bobbyi

and there were 12 votes for bobby, so 3/12 (25%) to 5/12 (41.67%) of the bobby voters are wolves

i think that's our best shot at getting a wolf; get someone who voted for bobby


most likely the seer saw bobby since people talked about lynching him at night, before the seer saw...so i'd bet the seer was NOT a bobby voter


so we also get the added benefit of less % chance of hitting the seer by lynching a bobby voter
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:28 AM
If our "vote for someone who hasn't posted yet" strategy is to be effective, shouldn't we try to figure out who among us is in the United States and who is not? The time difference could be one reason for infrequent posts. Don't want to kill a bloody Englishman for no reason.
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:33 AM
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If our "vote for someone who hasn't posted yet" strategy is to be effective, shouldn't we try to figure out who among us is in the United States and who is not? The time difference could be one reason for infrequent posts. Don't want to kill a bloody Englishman for no reason.
Fair enough, but it's been 24 hours since this thread started and several have been silent. I agree that some wolves voted for Bobbyi, but Bobbyi did himself in with a plead that he was the angel and then said that he coudl be saved by outing the seer. A true villager would not offer up the identity of the angel and seer on day 2 to save himself this early. Better to sacrifice yourself then get the seer or angel exposed to the wolves.
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:33 AM
exactly; the 'someone who hasn't posted' strategy has 2 inherent flaws

a) some people didn't post because they were AFK during the short day period

b) the wolves were on the computer to vote for eating both before and after bobby's lynching...so they likely did post so they wouldn't look suspicious...they also likely wanted to get the ball rolling for bobbyi



i would say to beware if there was anyone who was known to be on during that time and posted before lynching but didn't actually vote; they may not want voting records to hurt them later on since bobby's death was imminent after the bandwagon started moving


a wolf, or two, is most likely within the first 5 votes for bobby
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:34 AM
I vote for Piz0wn0reD!!!!!!

he was eager to start lynching and he was the 4th vote for bobbyi...votes 3-5 are the 'sweet spot' usually

i also think karpowksi is suspicious with his '100% sure bobby is a villager'


WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:34 AM
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most likely the seer saw bobby since people talked about lynching him at night, before the seer saw...so i'd bet the seer was NOT a bobby voter
So are you saying that the seer has to cast a vote, and then gorie lets him know the role of the person he voted for? I thought he cast his vote like the rest of us, and then PM'd gorie separately to find out the identity of another player...
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:35 AM
Sightless, why were you so quick to vote for me? Evidence please?
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:38 AM
Quote:
Quote:

most likely the seer saw bobby since people talked about lynching him at night, before the seer saw...so i'd bet the seer was NOT a bobby voter
So are you saying that the seer has to cast a vote, and then gorie lets him know the role of the person he voted for? I thought he cast his vote like the rest of us, and then PM'd gorie separately to find out the identity of another player...
during night phase the seer will seek information about a player. at the end of the night phase, they learn that players role.
day phase begins, and the seer can vote to lynch someone with the rest of the village.
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:39 AM
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I am thinking about changing my vote to zephed( he hasnt made a reply here yet), but would wolf be dumb enough not to post in this thread at all, by bringing suspicion to himself.

Or it must be one of the people who was pushing very hard for bobbyi to get killed.

Also we must figure out why, wolfs select who they select to get killed.
My brain hurts from trying to figure out the strategy in this game. That is why I have not posted.
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:40 AM
the seer pms gorie who he/she wants to see that night and gorie lets the seer know once the wolves have eaten someone (if they ate who he/she wanted to see, gorie lets them see someone else instead)

the seer is a normal villager, tho, so they vote like the rest of us...and my theory is that the seer saw at night that everyone was saying to lynch bobby, so they asked to see bobby and saw he was innocent and thus didn't vote for bobby

i may be wrong; the seer may not have wanted to see someone they thought was a guaranteed lynchee, or they may have already made a decision or not seen the bobby discussion, etc
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:40 AM
Wanted to see your reaction... why are you getting so defensive, its only one vote and later I posted saying I was probably changing my vote, you seem genuine but why are you so defensive?
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:41 AM
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Sightless, why were you so quick to vote for me? Evidence please?
I'm suspicious of people who vote for others out of the blue to kick things off. Could be a wolf trying to get the ball rolling bobbyi style. Of course, could be a seer too I suppose.
WEREWOLF 1 Quote
04-06-2006 , 09:42 AM
Nicholasp27 what was your thinking w/ Piz0wn0reD!!!!!!?
WEREWOLF 1 Quote

      
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