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Vanilla 13er [GAME THREAD] Vanilla 13er [GAME THREAD]

06-10-2021 , 11:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Esooa
your definition literally creates an inability for villagers to call nearly anything villagery vs wolfy. Which is ridiculous
no it doesn’t

it just eliminates the ability for people to just baldly make soul reads and then use confirmation bias to convince themselves and everyone else that they are playing werewolf
06-10-2021 , 11:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Birdman10687
no it doesn’t



it just eliminates the ability for people to just baldly make soul reads and then use confirmation bias to convince themselves and everyone else that they are playing werewolf
That's exactly what werewolf is!
06-10-2021 , 11:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luckbox Inc
I mean you're just an anti-tone person. But it's a discussion for postgame. Suffice to say though, I do not believe that "any tone" a person has as a wolf is wolf tone by definition.
I've inherited an anti-tone read perspective from Birdman, which I think generally holds true.

People's tone reads generally are superficial, or, biased, based on assumptions they have.

Some people are really good at justifying tone reads, and following up on them. You and Essoa's hunt on me last game is a really good example of this.

But lots of tone reads are based on assumptions/biases about someone else's play, faulty memory about that persons behaviours in previous games. These suck.
06-10-2021 , 11:59 AM
75% of vanilla werewolf is just the seer and the surrounding mechanics

i know this hurts the feelings of all the people that think they are good wolf hunters but it is what is is
06-10-2021 , 12:00 PM
I think birdman is generally correct btw - i'm sure someone has made this argument before but heavily using tone to read people is like using physical tells in poker
06-10-2021 , 12:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Doctor Zeus
I've inherited an anti-tone read perspective from Birdman, which I think generally holds true.



People's tone reads generally are superficial, or, biased, based on assumptions they have.



Some people are really good at justifying tone reads, and following up on them. You and Essoa's hunt on me last game is a really good example of this.



But lots of tone reads are based on assumptions/biases about someone else's play, faulty memory about that persons behaviours in previous games. These suck.
I mean even for me in the last game I had a good tone read on you and a horrendous one on Mets-- so I'm definitely not claiming it's a foolproof method. It's still not nothing though.
06-10-2021 , 12:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Birdman10687
no it doesn’t

it just eliminates the ability for people to just baldly make soul reads and then use confirmation bias to convince themselves and everyone else that they are playing werewolf
the idea that anything a wolf does is defacto wolfy and anything a villager does is de facto towny is antithetical to solving the game. It's working backwards. It's useless. You find wolves by creating patterns. Because villagers will do things wolves do, wolves will do things villagers do, and there's no possible way to explicitly separate them entirely. To deny this is to deny solving the game. You argue not that it's possible for a wolf to fit into a "villager pattern;" you argue the best ways to find a wolf aren't that. It's a process. It's pattern finding. It's emotional. It's not defined.
06-10-2021 , 12:01 PM
Votes from post 7 to post 157
Night in 7:59:57

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VotesLynchVoters
2 Montecore Doctor Zeus (25), Birdman10687 (14)
1 aaronk56 filthyvermin (12)
1 bsball8806 Esooa (44)
8 not voting aaronk56 (6), Crossnerd (0), iraisetoomuch (14), Kawamii (0), Luckbox Inc (16), Montecore (0), ShipItUp (0), VoraciousReader (3)
1 Error bsball8806 (13)
06-10-2021 , 12:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Doctor Zeus
I've inherited an anti-tone read perspective from Birdman, which I think generally holds true.

People's tone reads generally are superficial, or, biased, based on assumptions they have.

Some people are really good at justifying tone reads, and following up on them. You and Essoa's hunt on me last game is a really good example of this.

But lots of tone reads are based on assumptions/biases about someone else's play, faulty memory about that persons behaviours in previous games. These suck.
I think WW is a game of information. But there exists information overload. You tone read to find what's important. You go in depth to confirm or deny the tone read
06-10-2021 , 12:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Esooa
the idea that anything a wolf does is defacto wolfy and anything a villager does is de facto towny is antithetical to solving the game. It's working backwards. It's useless. You find wolves by creating patterns. Because villagers will do things wolves do, wolves will do things villagers do, and there's no possible way to explicitly separate them entirely. To deny this is to deny solving the game. You argue not that it's possible for a wolf to fit into a "villager pattern;" you argue the best ways to find a wolf aren't that. It's a process. It's pattern finding. It's emotional. It's not defined.
you are straw manning my argument now though

i didn’t say “anything a wolf does is de facto wolfy”

i was specifically talking about tone
06-10-2021 , 12:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luckbox Inc
I mean even for me in the last game I had a good tone read on you and a horrendous one on Mets-- so I'm definitely not claiming it's a foolproof method. It's still not nothing though.
What made your tone read on me so effective was Essoa's homework that proved it by going over past games. it was a ridiculous amount of work but maddeningly successful.
06-10-2021 , 12:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Esooa
I think WW is a game of information.
And you don't want to be all loosey goosey eating a sandwich or you might miss some of it.
06-10-2021 , 12:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Birdman10687
it's more like that its a circular argument

any tone that someone has as a wolf is, by defnition, a wolfy tone

if someone who is a wolf has a tone you think is villagery its simply because what you think its "wolfy" and what you think is "villagery" is wrong

"wofly tone" is literally just the tone someone has as a wolf

so saying someone has a wolfy tone when they are a wolf is true as a matter of fact
the last two paragraphs here are entirely and currently summarized by "what a wolf does is de facto wolfy"

if you disagree then okay. But it's not a straw man.

anyways, enough debate
06-10-2021 , 12:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Doctor Zeus
What made your tone read on me so effective was Essoa's homework that proved it by going over past games. it was a ridiculous amount of work but maddeningly successful.
It's true. I probably could have been talked out of it but everything she posted just confirmed it.
06-10-2021 , 12:07 PM
i love that we re-litigate this almost every game
06-10-2021 , 12:08 PM
Birdman sounds like a wolf
06-10-2021 , 12:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Esooa
the last two paragraphs here are entirely and currently summarized by "what a wolf does is de facto wolfy"

if you disagree then okay. But it's not a straw man.

anyways, enough debate
you are arguing against an argument that I didn’t make and attributing it to me

it is a straw man
06-10-2021 , 12:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aaronk56
Birdman sounds like a wolf
wolfy tone

amirite??
06-10-2021 , 12:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Birdman10687
you are arguing against an argument that I didn’t make and attributing it to me

it is a straw man
you literally said any tone a wolf has is wolfy tone.
06-10-2021 , 12:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aaronk56
Birdman sounds like a wolf
I'm definitely not ready to clear him but not ready to call him a wolf either.
Him having some reads might help.
06-10-2021 , 12:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luckbox Inc
I'm definitely not ready to clear him but not ready to call him a wolf either.
Him having some reads might help.
if i gave reads right now they would be made up
06-10-2021 , 12:23 PM
Votes from post 7 to post 171
Night in 7:37:16

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VotesLynchVoters
2 Montecore Doctor Zeus (26), Birdman10687 (19)
1 aaronk56 filthyvermin (12)
1 Birdman10687 aaronk56 (7)
1 bsball8806 Esooa (47)
7 not voting Crossnerd (0), iraisetoomuch (14), Kawamii (0), Luckbox Inc (19), Montecore (0), ShipItUp (0), VoraciousReader (3)
1 Error bsball8806 (13)
06-10-2021 , 12:26 PM
Re: people sleeping.

The problem isn't villagers not knowing whether someone is actually sleeping or working or brushing their teeth or wrangling their babies, human or otherwise.

The problem is the expectation that to receive credit for being a villager you must be constantly in the thread all day long...or at least in more often than not or you must be eliminated. It's an unmeetable expectation for most people.

It's much better to judge people by their posts than by their not-posts, at least as much as reasonable or possible.
06-10-2021 , 12:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Doctor Zeus
Filthyvermin - will make an early read that will get looked at >50 times throughout the game
This is great btw and my favorite of Zeus's predictions.
06-10-2021 , 12:29 PM
i kind of forgot some people are wolves until just now

      
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