Here's a run down of Slink with no analysis:
#577 first post of the game
#603 posts his leans:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slink
Hello again guys: Here's my idea on things so far after my first proper analysis. There is a lot of noise about ITT but my basic leanings are:
VILLAS
BEER, MDOM, STARK: Mostly because Kershardla went after them D1 and was a wolf.
NIGHTWOOD: Said dnky was a villa today when he was already dead. Would have to be a pretty good level if it came from a wolf who nkilled him.
LEAN VILLA
BITCHIE BEE: Tone only.
CORSARK: Good Helpful Villa Posts.
LEAN WOLF
WER: Defended by Kesh before his wolfy death. But otherwise posts are very helpful to the village so could be ok.
Bingo Bango: For voting Beer D1.
Malgin: For turning up very late D1 and voting with no real reason.
Djstu: All his accusations d1 were against villa like people (beer, stark, WU). fishy, but could just be confused d1 villa.
Mrs button: All over the place at the end of d1. Felt like he jumped on WU but jumped off quick when it looked like he was lynched to avoid looking suspicious.
NO IDEA: Everyone else.
I am looking forward to day 3 or 4 where we can really look closer at who goes and why.
#630 votes Malgin for being UTR
#654 by Bitchi
Quote:
Originally Posted by BitchiBee
Should Clarify that I got killed that game early on, D4ish I believe, and stopped following the game to closely thus my read on slink is based mostly on those early days. So if Slink did heat up as the game progressed we have a definate 'betting" tell to work with on slink.
#777 Gtpitch analyzes Slink
#865 his method and clears Bitchi:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slink
It is true Bitchie/ Iron Tamer, I gather a lot of info in the first few days and then once about 4-5 people are gone then I fire up a bit more. I really think days 1-2 are a crap shoot so dont say too much. But as I said yesterday I missed the whole first day by accident. For the record I have you down as full villa now too.
#898 says goofy's post is wolfy
#921 doesn't like the Brian/JFrost wagons says they feel v/v
#939
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slink
Pile on Malgin and see what happens. Gotta be better than the other two.
#961 Doesn't like the UTR coming out to vote says he may change his vote
#970 Doesn't like Ilya's "utr" vote for malgin
#1014 Votes JD @5:58
#1026 votes Malgin @ 6:00 nothing has changed in the 2min that I can see and JFrost is mislynched in a tie with Brian.
#1102 asks for leans
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slink
WOW. Nice result serial killer. We must buy you a beer.
I would like to ask again for the following guys to give me their thoughts on who is wolfy and villa like:
chaser
malgin
a.ertjberg
Illya
Whoever out of this quad contributes the least ITT will get my vote in 5 hours time and I will try to drum up other customers against them.
Can't remember what post # this is:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slink
Here's how I feel about things at the moment. I realise I may be a bit hypocritical attacking those who dont post much but I like to do a lot of evidence gathering and then send it out in one big hit per day before I go to sleep. I dont like to do my thinking out loud and jam up the thread. And trying to get the UTR's to post cant be a bad thing however it happens. My thoughts:
VILLAS
- Both Brains are ok in my book for going after gtpitch before his demise.
- BitchieBee: Good as his analysis in the last 24 hours has been near spot on in my book.
- ILB: From being targeted by kersharlra early as everyone has stated.
- Nightwood: As gtpitch went after him yesterday: But seems to have a bit of an ego or something that he needs to lose for going after bitchie.
Lean Villa
- River: Defended JF and nightwood and attacked wolfy persons like aergberg and malgin. So ok in my book so far.
-
Not sure
-WER: Works well for the village and seems ok, but if you look at his history a) defended by kesh the wolf before his death b) pushing the WU vote c) pushing the JF vote makes me wonder. but the comment of GT's before he went "OK Ill vote for JF onyl because I trust you" makes me feel like gt was pushing blame onto him, so I think WER may have just been unlucky.
-Jumangi: Voted Brian, voted WU, voted nightwood are all bad items. But also defended JF and called gtpitch a wolf at times so his efforts blance out.
-Mrs Button: Dont trust him for jumping on bitchie, WU and nightwood early. But defended JD at times too. Posts and votes are all over the place which feels strange.
-Bingo: Lack of evidence but did say JF was villa before his death.
-Mdom: His confusing way of writing always throws me off, and his votes for brian make me doubt him, but the fact he defended beer hard makes him neutral in my book.
-JD: Immediately attacked beer when he joined. But lack of other info leans me neither way.
-Stark: His posts come out neutral with a lot against karak but then changes his mind completely. Dont know what to think .
-Corsark: Day 2 he talked about Gtpitch being a possible wolf. but his votes for nightwood and his general confusion of posts has him in the middle for me.
- Chaser: Defended Brain early, but his lack of posts early and a vote for JF makes him neutral in my book.
Leaning Wolf
- A.Ertbjerg: Attacked Frost post 345 with no evidence. Jummepd on the WU bandwagon (417) and general wolfy UTR behaviour.
- Card: Voted Brian, attacked JD at times, voted WU. All wolfy triats.
- Ilya: Very strange tag along vote for Malgin late. Just get a bad feeling about the way he tries to offload blame and not try to help the village at all.
-Mburke: Attacked Beer day 1, then caedus day 2 pushing a wagon against caedus hard before he died. Wolfy evidence.
-Djstu: Attacked JF d1, voted beer, and attacked Brian so hard that I doubt him a lot.
-Karak: Said Brain is wolfy day 1 and jumped on the JF vote late with no reason. Defended by Gtpitch day 2. Not good.
- Ainex/ Jobeen/ Malgin: Dont know fully through lack of info. Which in my mind puts them in the very wolfy category until proven otherwise.
I have only played one game before this, and in it many wolves where UTR so I mistrust them most of all. It may be bad but I am happy to vote for anyone who refuses to post until better evidence comes out.
An A.Ertbjerg, Ilya, mburke, karak wagon is good for me today. I'm off to sleep for 5 hours or so but for now I
vote A.Ertbjerg
#1113 points out Gtpitch defending Karak
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slink
Karak getting defended by a wolf here looks bad for Karak.
#1199 votes A.Ertberger
#1313 Has had 'trouble' with Malgin and will switch to him to see either Malgin or Ertberg lynched
#1316 unvotes votes Malgin
#1396 Unvotes votes Ertberger because so many on Malgin makes him 'nervous'
#1413 decides his vote for ertberger is useless as he is only one voting for him so switches back to Malgin
#1517 feeling lost and paranoid promises future analysis.
I just found these posts interesting:
Quote:
Originally Posted by I_Like_Beer
Here are your wolves:
Karak567
Wraths Unanimous
chaser1942
Slink
BitchiBee
WinEvryRacex
mdom88
and the Serial Killer is:
gtpitch
You can take it to the bank
BTW, I'm villager just like in every other game I've played *sigh*
Quote:
Originally Posted by gtpitch
Caedus and WER (because I trust you both as villa)
Jack >>>> JD??? you're sure?