Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
So let's not lynch jobeen. I like karak. And what % chance would you assign to ILB being the SK? I really doubt it's significantly higher than 20%.
There are like 5 players left capable of being the SK, you, mdom, ILB, djstu, and BitchiBee. If it is anyone else I'll eat my hat.
I'd rate %s something like this:
you- 20%
mdom- 10%
ILB- 40%
djstu- 25%
BB- 5%
I don't think any of the other people left are capable of doing this. Karak is possible, but I'm going to rule him out because I think it's a gazillion times more likely he is a wolf than the SK.
FWIW djstu has been intriguing me for awhile now, especially after he came at me hard this morning about that card NK thing, which seemed really nitpicky, like he was trying to come up with a reason to get me lynched. He then backed off and said that I should not be lynched today with pretty poor logic supporting that. To me, that is really weird and reeks of him either being a wolf or SK.
Re: Karak
Part of me really wants to go with my gut from earlier in the game and kill him (as I have suggested over the past few days), but the fact that NO ONE is defending him at all scares me and makes me think he's just not paying close attention because he's disinterested because he's villa. I think he's a better kill than jobeen for sure and possibly 00brian (after him snap voting for me, that was a pretty noob villa move). Still, I like mdom's analysis and had been thinking in a similar vein for a few days, just wasn't ready to pull the trigger because I was afraid I'd get snap NK'd, which looks likely today anyway after the djstu crap, so I might as well say it now.