and he got lynched asap in that second game

he wasnt on that level in the 2nd game but now he is after he feels he failed the 2nd game. he went over ideas over what he could do differently and what might work, then bing bing bing

imo

I don't think so, we cleared him after kesh died iirc.

Also I like how you say my logic for not wagoning you is bad, then agree with me that you're probably gonna get nk'ed tonight a paragraph later. It made me smile.

I don't really feel like I need to defend myself but if you really think the chances are that high I'm the SK, think about how likely the wolves are to NK me based on how I soulread RiverFenix and mburke and how meticulously I've been analyzing everyone's posts looking for wolves, and then think about how likely it is that I'd put myself in their crosshairs like that if I was the SK.

tbh a big reason why I feel yesterday's wagon could be v/v/v is the fact that I didn't get NKed for engineering that situation.

fwiw I highly, highly doubt ILB is a wolf, not due to peeks or anything like that but just due to his posting style which, like I said, is very similar to the SSNL game and drastically different from his wolf performance in the other rookie game that mdom mentioned.

hmmm guess i missed that. prolly not a wolf then but i'm still confident hes the cereal killer

It would be great if BB, Card, etc. could chime in some more, it's really just like 4 or 5 us going back and forth here which is only so productive.

I'll go beer because at the very least I think we do actually get some information from his death based on who is pushing him right now, and mdom's death is pretty much assured if he's wrong

and I think this is good logic to go for the SK instead of focusing on wolves like I have been

hmm

i wont be back for eod, but voting me is a huge mistake. im very clear villa here, and several of you have made good reads on that. yes im not posting much, however that's because of IRL events beyond my control, and i simply didnt have time to read everything.

also, i don't think ilb is the SK, but he definitely has a 5-10 % chance of being him.

I dont agree. I would rather go for the wolves than the SK at this point as I feel it could be up to about 4 different people.

oh look the guy who's played 5 turbos between his last post in this thread and the above mindblowing contribution

[0] Cardassian(For A.Ertbjerg) - danny
[0] BitchiBee -
[0] djstu -
[0] goofyballer - ILB
[3] I_Like_Beer - unvote
[1] DannyKGB(For IlyaMuromec) - jobeen
[3] jobeen-
[0] JumanjiBoard -
[0] Karak567 - jobeen
[0] mdom88 - ILB
[0] nightwood -
[0] O0Brian0O - stark
[0] J.D.(For saymond) -
[0] Slink - jobeen
[1] starkwired - ILB

as of #2661

ILB dying right now would be a travesty as he is one of the only people we can rely on for being non wolfy. Picking the SK is a very difficult thing and I think it is best left till later and hoping we get lucky with wolf nk's.

The way things have been going to wolves are trying to kill the SK and the SK has been going for wolves, so lets keep it that way and maybe they will take each other out.

I'm kinda looking at it like this:
- mdom is right, we nail SK
- mdom is wrong and guarantees his death, which I don't really hate as I've felt something is off with him for awhile, I can never tell if it's a wolf feel or SK feel but I just don't like his play in this game

One of the things that tilts me the most about you is the way you always say **** like this as if it should be so obvious to anyone with half a brain when in fact, it isn't. If you want to be a helpful villa in the future you really need to cut this out and actually explain logic behind why ppl shouldn't think you're a wolf.

I honestly think we have better leads on the SK than the wolves at this point. Cutting our worst possible villager loses to 2 per day instead of 3 would help us so so much.

Good to see you've been stalking me .

I've taken you off my radar after the Caedus NK and you got off the mburke thing and started making helpful posts, but your recent posts are fishy. ILB did a stupid thing in his first long game so he's too dumb to be an sk? This is something nightwood would say but not something I expected from you.

And your pushing that mdom's death is assured is very anti-village as mdom explained.

I don't think an sk would be so actively pushing an sk wagon at this point, when he could be blending in. Mdom's posts feel very villagery, so going out and giving telling the wolves that "hey guys! we be lynching mdom tommorrow if he is alive" for this dumb reason is bad.

I don't think he's good enough to be THIS SK, who is godmoding his wolf kills.

How? mdom agreed that this was true!

Could a wolf be pushing an sk wagon, though? The wolves would love for us to lynch the SK so that they don't have to waste a NK on it, and obv because they want the SK gone as much as we do.

Although I think some of you make some nice points about ILB, I was the first one on the Jobeen wagon and I won't stop now!

JOBEEN

QFT

You forgot one person on that list: You


QFT

BTW, lynching me is beyond dumb. Cause it's a given fact that I'll be NKed either tonight or tomorrow night. I will be really surprised if I make it any farther. why? because I am one of the only few people actually trying to find wolves here

Here are my percentages:

Mdom: 40% chance he is SK. 50% chance he is wolf. 10% chance he is villie
Goofy: 40% chance he is SK. 5% chance he is wolf. 55% chance he is villie.
Stark: 15% chance he is SK. 45% chance he is wolf. 40% chance he is villie. I base this off of his huge defense of jobeen. Either stark knows jobeen or is villie cause he is a wolf, or they both are wolves)
Slink: 5% of him being the SK. 20% chance for wolf, 75% chance for villie.

Beer: 100% chance he is plain old villiie.

[0] Cardassian(For A.Ertbjerg) - danny
[0] BitchiBee -
[0] djstu -
[0] goofyballer - ILB
[3] I_Like_Beer - unvote
[1] DannyKGB(For IlyaMuromec) - jobeen
[4] jobeen-
[0] JumanjiBoard - Jobeen
[0] Karak567 - jobeen
[0] mdom88 - ILB
[0] O0Brian0O - stark
[0] J.D.(For saymond) -
[0] Slink - jobeen
[1] starkwired - ILB

as of #2669

Where is everyone?

1. I said that I would probably be lynched tomorrow, not that I would be nK'd tonight. i don't see why you guys are so sure that i get killed if i'm wrong here. although, if we end up not even lynching ILB then it's prob 100% that i get nk'd tonight.

It's a bad idea to suspect somebody because you think his posts about the SK are "fishy". The SK isn't a wolf, he doesn't have buddies trying to shift attention anywhere else, he's alone and everybody wants him dead. There's no role that goofy could be in where he doesn't directly gain from killing the SK, it makes no sense to think he's intentionally misdirecting us.

If the wolves aren't helping us find and kill the SK I'll be extremely surprised.

jobeen is just such a terrible kill, we have no evidence whatsoever except she has been UTR, and please look at the quoted post above to see how villagery it is

DannyKGB is a much more suspicious UTR if we want to go in that direction

2. if i were a wolf, and i was so sure of my read on ILB, i would never EVER come out like this and draw so much attention to myself. the reward would be that we end up getting one more NK than normal. whoopty ****** doo. but of course me playing the way i have this game and going crazy on ilb today pretty much assures that i won't make it to the end of the game no matter what else happens. risk/reward imo