Quote:
Originally Posted by Mark_K
What are peoples thoughts on the current Presidential polls showing Trump consistently in the lead? Trump also seems to be getting a surge of younger voters.
My opinion is the polls are crap and the moderates will not end up voting Trump. Most of the people I interact with seems revolted with him. How could he ever get the numbers?
The only thing that gives me pause is that in the past, Trump overperformed his poll numbers.
It's a mirage.
When it's actually time to vote people in the middle aren't going to have the stomach to vote for Trump. As much as they may be annoyed with Biden at the moment, when it's decision time they'll vote blue. That decision will be aided by Trump, predictably, saying some incredibly stupid and off-putting things.
I can't prove it but I suspect that Trump overperformance is no longer likely, the social effects of saying you might consider voting for him are different than they were in 2016 or even 2020.