Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
actually, hm, batm as a wolf changes my views on what happened in this lynch
there is trickery at play here otherwise why would the wolves use an ending night early power and presumably go to a flip for at least one wolf?
wolves are rarely given more than one way to mess with the lynch numbers themselves, that type of combo play is exploitable and vagos isn't dumb. so i would find it very hard to believe that the wolves had a lynch power beyond montecore (ending night early is usually a one-time thing).
perhaps the wolves peeked someone with a voting power on n0 and knew that he would die in the lynch?
if so, that puts dwetz back into play on what would otherwise "look good" for him on first blush
there's more than meets the eye here
dear moron:
it's blatantly obvious that there was a multivoter on tchaz (may or may not be a 3x voter, but whatever), and also that wolves called night there
because if a villager called night with 45 minutes left and 4/4/3/3/3/whatever wagons and a lead wagon AFK like he literally always in on Mondays from when I left until literally walking in the door one minute after the thread locked, they need to sub out, quit werewolf, and have their children adopted by Adrian Peterson who is clearly a more fit parent
and if it is, as YOU suggested, a 3x voter, and if for some stupid reason they had to call night literally exactly 45 minutes early, and that I am somehow a wolf in this scenario, then congratulations, you think they blew a stupidly overpowered night calling ability on n1
in order to create a flip (AND they would also have had to know where the triple voter was, which requires the 4% chance of peeking the triple voter, which appears to be Kruze based on current thread information), and all that to save me because you know how easily I get lynched on d1 as a wolf
maybe do some math on your paper and figure out the odds on that, Einstein