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NHL Mishmash Game Thread! NHL Mishmash Game Thread!

09-30-2014 , 09:36 AM
aw hell

i'm the queen of xposts this game

boo mods
NHL Mishmash Game Thread! Quote
09-30-2014 , 09:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mucksandgravs
I feel like mutigers skated by yesterday. Need more from him today
eh
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09-30-2014 , 09:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Xkf
That feels steep

I may double check ur work

But yeah gut says its a wolf advantage that reaches significance
.52 villager deaths to .12 wolf deaths is my (approximate) math, and those are using conservative figures.

a peeked wolf changes the math to .4 wolves, .24 villagers
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09-30-2014 , 09:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gamer Dude
#triplekill
Reminds me of halo. Used to love hearing that #triplekill
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09-30-2014 , 09:38 AM
theBATMan
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09-30-2014 , 09:38 AM
what is this insanity

I DEMAND CARNAGE
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09-30-2014 , 09:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mucksandgravs
Reminds me of halo. Used to love hearing that #triplekill
my favorite VG series of all time

ainec
NHL Mishmash Game Thread! Quote
09-30-2014 , 09:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheNothing
oh i was gonna - just wanted to see if anyone cared




what do you think about the lynch last night? i kinda buy what domer is trying to say but i dunno
What do I think?

Lol us

That about covers it
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09-30-2014 , 09:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheNothing
if we believe that wolves had to call early night the way domer thinks it happened, then we kill BATM & when he flips wolf, we clear booker, xkf & hax.

ez peezy imo
Right.

I have a hunch that it was a villa play, but who knows
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09-30-2014 , 09:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zdye724
What do I think?

Lol us

That about covers it


Quote:
Originally Posted by mucksandgravs
Right.

I have a hunch that it was a villa play, but who knows
i think it's a wolf play but yeah, who knows
NHL Mishmash Game Thread! Quote
09-30-2014 , 09:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
actually, hm, batm as a wolf changes my views on what happened in this lynch

there is trickery at play here otherwise why would the wolves use an ending night early power and presumably go to a flip for at least one wolf?

wolves are rarely given more than one way to mess with the lynch numbers themselves, that type of combo play is exploitable and vagos isn't dumb. so i would find it very hard to believe that the wolves had a lynch power beyond montecore (ending night early is usually a one-time thing).

perhaps the wolves peeked someone with a voting power on n0 and knew that he would die in the lynch?

if so, that puts dwetz back into play on what would otherwise "look good" for him on first blush

there's more than meets the eye here
dear moron:

it's blatantly obvious that there was a multivoter on tchaz (may or may not be a 3x voter, but whatever), and also that wolves called night there

because if a villager called night with 45 minutes left and 4/4/3/3/3/whatever wagons and a lead wagon AFK like he literally always in on Mondays from when I left until literally walking in the door one minute after the thread locked, they need to sub out, quit werewolf, and have their children adopted by Adrian Peterson who is clearly a more fit parent

and if it is, as YOU suggested, a 3x voter, and if for some stupid reason they had to call night literally exactly 45 minutes early, and that I am somehow a wolf in this scenario, then congratulations, you think they blew a stupidly overpowered night calling ability on n1 in order to create a flip (AND they would also have had to know where the triple voter was, which requires the 4% chance of peeking the triple voter, which appears to be Kruze based on current thread information), and all that to save me because you know how easily I get lynched on d1 as a wolf

maybe do some math on your paper and figure out the odds on that, Einstein
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09-30-2014 , 09:40 AM
I feel like we are having a villa meeting before all the slimy soabs make it to the thread
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09-30-2014 , 09:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mucksandgravs
Right.

I have a hunch that it was a villa play, but who knows
what do you mean by "it"? what part of it do you think was a village play?
NHL Mishmash Game Thread! Quote
09-30-2014 , 09:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheNothing
obv if we keep signing up for PP's and screwing them up, we are giving shats to wolves so....

i'm cool not getting a shat if it means they don't either
Yeah I reckon I am too, but that takes the fun out of it for me.
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09-30-2014 , 09:42 AM
i assume we are killing kruze and/or sirrawrs today
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09-30-2014 , 09:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DWetzel
dear moron:

it's blatantly obvious that there was a multivoter on tchaz (may or may not be a 3x voter, but whatever), and also that wolves called night there

because if a villager called night with 45 minutes left and 4/4/3/3/3/whatever wagons and a lead wagon AFK like he literally always in on Mondays from when I left until literally walking in the door one minute after the thread locked, they need to sub out, quit werewolf, and have their children adopted by Adrian Peterson who is clearly a more fit parent

and if it is, as YOU suggested, a 3x voter, and if for some stupid reason they had to call night literally exactly 45 minutes early, and that I am somehow a wolf in this scenario, then congratulations, you think they blew a stupidly overpowered night calling ability on n1 in order to create a flip (AND they would also have had to know where the triple voter was, which requires the 4% chance of peeking the triple voter, which appears to be Kruze based on current thread information), and all that to save me because you know how easily I get lynched on d1 as a wolf

maybe do some math on your paper and figure out the odds on that, Einstein
keep reading chief

i now think it looks good for you given the 8:05 start for the BATM wagon
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09-30-2014 , 09:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ
Depending on what we can parse about how and why EOD happened, CDL being confirmed villager fits exactly with what I was saying when cjkalt dies and DWetzel promptly goes "alright, now we're DEFINITELY going CDL next."

But obviously can't ignore that the EOD mechanic can look good for DWetz. So yeah, I'm really hoping that a villager announces that they caused that tchaz lynch somehow.
Dear dip****:

How about you use a tiny bit of your legal training and actually look at the evidence and evaluate it fairly instead of HOPING a villager announces that so that you can continue to incorrectly call me a wolf?
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09-30-2014 , 09:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
what do you mean by "it"? what part of it do you think was a village play?
Calling night to merk tchaz would be the "it"

I sweated a game recently where ome person controlled the lynch. It was that SE game where SRM killed a wolf at eod when he was the only one on the wagon. He was a villager. Never seen night called early like thos though.
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09-30-2014 , 09:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mutigers5591
i assume we are killing kruze and/or sirrawrs today
what lynch-influencing wolf power do you suspect they have?

a wolf lynch influencer (and likely the only one) already died.
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09-30-2014 , 09:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheNothing
lol lazy?

post a chart

My work here is done

Lazy mentality imo
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09-30-2014 , 09:45 AM
dwetz calling people morons & dip****s this morning seems a bit ridiculous
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09-30-2014 , 09:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mucksandgravs
Calling night to merk tchaz would be the "it"

I sweated a game recently where ome person controlled the lynch. It was that SE game where SRM killed a wolf at eod when he was the only one on the wagon. He was a villager. Never seen night called early like thos though.
nope

calling night early is a village power about 1% of the time, and unless you're a complete moron, you'd never use it ever

SRM's power was very different, whoever he voted he killed once in the game, and he binked a wolf on night 1
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09-30-2014 , 09:45 AM
TN,

not calling you a wolf, just trying to motivate you.
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09-30-2014 , 09:45 AM
Dwetzel chill holy ****
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09-30-2014 , 09:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mucksandgravs
post a chart

My work here is done

Lazy mentality imo
way to read the very next post & way to see that i haven't left yet



gjge imo
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