Quote:
Originally Posted by Wyman
I'm surprised so many of you think 9 red suit tricks is going to be so tough. What kind of 2-suiters is partner opening at these colors in 2nd seat?
My only worry is that they take 2 clubs off the top, but (a) we might not get a club lead, and (b) partner, who is declaring, could have Kx, and (c) even then, there are hands in partner's range where we can pick up both red suits for 0 losers. With a stiff club (admittedly unlikely) or a non-club lead, I think 5D looks pretty good. I can't stand the thought of not bidding a vulnerable game here because I'm worried about -50 vs +130.
Well, if you're hoping for partner to have Kx, that leaves a maximum of 6 HCP in the reds. If so we will have a red suit loser in addition, and that's if partner has a maximum.
Partner's more likely to have a stiff club than a stiff spade, but even with a stiff club it's not a lock. Is xx QT9xx KJxxx x a reasonable hand given the 2-9 HCP range? Yes, it is, and we're on a hook for game at that point. And it could be much worse.
Yes, partner COULD have xx Axxxx KQxxx x I guess, and we could be missing slam. But that's playing partner for a hyper-maximum.