Box Office Draft 2016 - Page 30 - Puzzles and Other Games Forum

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06-13-2016 , 02:55 PM

#726

master3004

Revisionist Historian

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 56,494

Though I'm not accounting for Ellen's overall popularity which is probably a mistake

Quote

06-13-2016 , 03:44 PM

#727

domer2

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 34,141

chuckles has another hit with Conjuring 2. He looks to be on pace for $1.1 billion, which is also where pwns is headed.

Tons of people are still in the hunt, but those are the two frontrunners right now.

Quote

06-13-2016 , 04:10 PM

#728

StuckinARutt

(╯°□°）╯︵ ┻━┻

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 38,148

Is it looking like anyone will have 3 or more caps?

Quote

06-13-2016 , 05:39 PM

#729

domer2

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 34,141

chuckles will probably be the only one with 2

thingy may join him if independence day 2 breaks out

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06-13-2016 , 06:00 PM

#730

filthyvermin

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 61,150

it's looking like my first three picks combined will make less than 200 million

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06-13-2016 , 07:04 PM

#731

StuckinARutt

(╯°□°）╯︵ ┻━┻

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 38,148

I'd give myself a 10-25% chance that both Dr. Strange and Star Trek Cap.

The two of them make 500M together probably 85% of the time

Quote

06-13-2016 , 07:07 PM

#732

pwnsall

CFBBPC

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 66,068

Star trek will do about 200. Less than 5% to cap

200 is the high side I'd say

Quote

06-13-2016 , 07:23 PM

#733

domer2

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 34,141

Quote:

Originally Posted by StuckinARutt

I'd give myself a 10-25% chance that both Dr. Strange and Star Trek Cap.

The two of them make 500M together probably 85% of the time

Will give you 15-1 odds on $650m

Would also give you 1.5-1 odds on $500m

Quote

06-13-2016 , 07:38 PM

#734

StuckinARutt

(╯°□°）╯︵ ┻━┻

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 38,148

Quote:

Originally Posted by domer2

Would also give you 1.5-1 odds on $500m

I'd probably take this bet

Last edited by StuckinARutt; 06-13-2016 at 07:46 PM.

Quote

06-13-2016 , 08:09 PM

#735

domer2

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 34,141

alright, well let me know!

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06-13-2016 , 08:19 PM

#736

StuckinARutt

(╯°□°）╯︵ ┻━┻

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 38,148

you'd actually want to make a monetary bet?

Quote

06-13-2016 , 09:08 PM

#737

Nicholasp27

27th level thinker

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 85,112

I'm gonna hit 900M with my 3 top movies; not sure if they'll all 3 cap, or 2 of them cap, but 900 is good enough for 3 movies

Quote

06-13-2016 , 09:17 PM

#738

filthyvermin

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 61,150

Quote:

Originally Posted by filthyvermin

it's looking like my first three picks combined will make less than 200 million

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nicholasp27

I'm gonna hit 900M with my 3 top movies; not sure if they'll all 3 cap, or 2 of them cap, but 900 is good enough for 3 movies

Quote

06-13-2016 , 09:30 PM

#739

pwnsall

CFBBPC

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 66,068

All in on the under

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06-13-2016 , 09:59 PM

#740

domer2

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 34,141

Quote:

Originally Posted by StuckinARutt

you'd actually want to make a monetary bet?

wouldn't have offered odds otherwise

Quote

06-13-2016 , 10:02 PM

#741

StuckinARutt

(╯°□°）╯︵ ┻━┻

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 38,148

Might take $20 or so. Have to figure out how confident I am that Strange will cap. I remember calling GOTG 2 years ahead of time, but it's worrying me that even it only barely capped

Quote

06-19-2016 , 03:52 PM

#742

StuckinARutt

(╯°□°）╯︵ ┻━┻

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 38,148

Really liked Warcraft

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06-20-2016 , 03:28 PM

#743

aaronk56

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 17,756

The Birth of a Nation

I think that's it for replacements picks.

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06-20-2016 , 03:49 PM

#744

domer2

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 34,141

decently good pick, had great buzz out of sundance

hard to tell if it will have mass appeal

Quote

06-20-2016 , 03:53 PM

#745

xander biscuits

watching a movie

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 40,022

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06-24-2016 , 12:04 PM

#746

Nicholasp27

27th level thinker

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 85,112

Quote:

Originally Posted by StuckinARutt

Won't flop Thingy

ID made $300M over 20 years ago. In what Universe does this not cap? Same studio, pretty good cast, decent release date (only competes with Finding Dory week before), Jeff Goldblum - what could go wrong?

In our universe, apparently

Quote

06-24-2016 , 12:07 PM

#747

Nicholasp27

27th level thinker

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 85,112

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nicholasp27

Nah, plenty of Pixar end up in the sub 325M range but all do 250M+ (inflation adjusted) except Cars 2 (lol)...however Finding Nemo is top Pixar ever so I expect this capping 97% of the time

ID should be huge but it doesn't have Will Smith and is competing with a million other 200M+ movies so IF it's a badly done cash grab then after the huge opening weekend it'll drop off quickly and end up in 200M range

I think that's unlikely so I think ID caps, but it's more likely to be sub 275 than a movie from a studio that doesn't put out sub-250 movies (excepting lolCars 2)

Early reviews showing it's a "poorly done crash grab"

Didn't even do advanced showings so critics had to watch it last night when it opened