highly confident that fnord will flip wolf given that BATM probably will not

wut

it seems way likelier that the wolves tracked him and knew he was a PR than it is likely that they just pulled an elite tone read out of thin air and binked the seer

if i'm dead tomorrow someone should also take a look at one of those postcount by day charts on d3 or d4 to see if anything jumps out

prob more utility in a big mash, but i definitely remember getting wolves that way in the past

(of course it should be balanced against the likelihood of general loss of WIM after this afternoon)

The only tears induced by soccer are tears of laughter.

i know you're a villager so it's very frustrating for me to be dealing with this issue still (since it can easily be resolved by you taking the time to actually go through my games and confirming that i'm telling the truth)

i know how i play when i'm a wolf. there's no doubt in my mind that my activity levels as a wolf at EoD are very low relative to my activity level as a villager. i think there is a huge discrepancy, actually. if you're only willing to look at 3 or 4 nights and roll with that, small sample size be damned, then what am i supposed to do? if you want to be a good little lock clear village captain and spend the 30-60mins it takes to clear a villager, that would be awesome.

i feel like a halfway competent wolfteam would ~never use the tracker action n1, and i feel like you should know that too

which is not very consistent with your construction of a megaelite wolf team composed of me, domer, and fnord

My wagon is in the running for least pure wagonomics of all time

that makes no sense, you either watch or you track, if track whiffs you get more info than you do if watch whiffs, which is what will usually happen with either one

disko, this sort of seems like a silly endeavor

how many of your games would you propose he go through to collect enough data points? what level of difference in posting volume would be statistically significant to "clear a villager"?

if it was the case that you legit NEVER post much at EOD as a wolf, that would be one thing (and you'd be blowing up your own spot for future games), but given that the assertion is apparently not true for literally your most recent wolf game, i'm not sure why you're still asserting that it's a fruitful line of inquiry

either i'm misunderstanding something or you are (or you're pretending to)

one sec

This is what you said:

I looked at maybe 5 games and found 2 were you posted during an early EOD as a wolf. You realize you don't rand wolf all that much right? There's not a huge sample to work with here.

I mean, ya, you slank away from EODs as a wolf - more often than not even

But you were posting terribly at EOD and I think you knew that and brought this up - and now that I've actually looked into it, we discover it's more of a tendency than a super secret wolf tell that can clear you - and so you don't really wanna talk about it anymore

which leads us back to your EOD, with your wolfy posts and your off wagon vote - and it will be especially damning (imo) if BATM flips wolf

So you never angel n1 Hoya? Like if the second wagon, batm, is a wolf you don't angel him n1?

so no, tracking is pretty trivially not the optimal choice among the three

i guess you weren't familiar with the role though, huh

this is the part where the wolves cling to their dying hope that I'll get lynched and wind up CFDing some hapless villager for nothing

today it'll probably be BATM

I mean, you told me to look into it - I did, and I found that you are in fact capable of posting at EODs as a wolf. So it was a stupid defense on your part last night, and I think it's one you used because anyone who looks at your EOD posts would

what does angeling have to do with watching or tracking

Wow, you make it sound like I've made 10 posts and only given one read in the entire game.

well thats ridiculous! If I'm a wolf, I never turn on Gad like that. I'd be so terrified how that might look that I would just never do it. If i had Gad villa early, it would take me about 4 days just to switch it, not two posts!

Plus i gave good reason for my thoughts, but you seem to have ignored them entirely and gone looking at the low hanging fruit.



ftr, wolves are the kind of people who worry about their reads being consistent. Villagers are not afraid to change.

I'm definitely watching you now.

oh I see

wat

angeling on n1 still seems pretty bad to me but I guess if BATM were a wolf you'd kinda have to

I don't think he is so probably I'm right still, I think

Unless I'm mistaken, gf can watch track OR angel. He can only angel 3 times all game though.

well, I mean, I've perused your posts a few times and I don't see anything you're not (to my knowledge) capable of doing as a wolf

I didn't realize the angel was exclusive of the watch / track, I don't know dude

Why do you think batm is a villager again?