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07-22-2011 , 11:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
Whether milk is a good turbo wolf or not is moot
He's never been a long game wolf at least on this site

If he was a bad turbo wolf I probably wouldn't think he was a wolf

But knowing he's a good turbo wolf is the best evidence we could have that he will also be a good long game wolf

What evidence is there that Milk is not a wolf?
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07-22-2011 , 11:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HerbieGRD
I'm thinking it's now possible that I'm going to regret secretly hoping to learn whether I still have it in me to figure these things out as a villager at the end of the game

I'm already dreading the possibility of a me/silman/telco final 3
i won't be voting you.
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07-22-2011 , 11:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
we should be lynching from zomghax, sun, and crja

none of them are huntcleared right?
Don't act like I didn't try to save perdition yesterday
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07-22-2011 , 11:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
My best guess is zomg telco
your tunneling will likely cost the village I'm sad to say
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07-22-2011 , 11:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HerbieGRD
He's never been a long game wolf at least on this site

If he was a bad turbo wolf I probably wouldn't think he was a wolf

But knowing he's a good turbo wolf is the best evidence we could have that he will also be a good long game wolf

What evidence is there that Milk is not a wolf?
He tried to not vote perdition

His innocent tone

His free flowing day 1

His reaction to pressure
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07-22-2011 , 11:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
Milk didn't want to vote perdition

He did for self Pres

Wolf milk would have loved a perd lynch
This is only true in certain circumstances. He would have to specifically believe you were seer for this to be true. Otherwise he would have much preferred lynching someone that he thought the actual seer might have peeked.

What were your fake peeks yesterday anyways

He also didn't give reads on anyone, and his contribution towards "solving the game" were that we should just lynch whatever non-SHC person I wanted to lynch.

What about this is clearing exactly?
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07-22-2011 , 11:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
He tried to not vote perdition

His innocent tone

His free flowing day 1

His reaction to pressure
He didn't have an innocent tone in his village game

He had an in your face I'm right you're wrong tone
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07-22-2011 , 11:31 AM
I guess my ultimate point here is that if we lynch milk/chrja/zomg then in order for us to lose before F3 the wolves would have had to FPS 2 nightkills - one of them while the rest of their team was getting owned around them. I find this very hard to believe, and if they did it gg they deserve to win imo. Given the players that are left I believe very strongly that even if we somehow got to a final 3 that was like me/telco/silman or mets/telco/silman or something that village would probably win that.

So yeah at this point I feel like we should close our eyes and hold our noses and just lynch the way the evidence suggests we should lynch and then figure it out afterwards if it somehow doesn't work
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07-22-2011 , 11:48 AM
Which kill cleared telco?
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07-22-2011 , 11:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
Which kill cleared telco?
YouKnowWho n1 I believe
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07-22-2011 , 11:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HerbieGRD
YouKnowWho n1 I believe
Meh
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07-22-2011 , 11:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HerbieGRD
I guess my ultimate point here is that if we lynch milk/chrja/zomg then in order for us to lose before F3 the wolves would have had to FPS 2 nightkills - one of them while the rest of their team was getting owned around them. I find this very hard to believe, and if they did it gg they deserve to win imo. Given the players that are left I believe very strongly that even if we somehow got to a final 3 that was like me/telco/silman or mets/telco/silman or something that village would probably win that.

So yeah at this point I feel like we should close our eyes and hold our noses and just lynch the way the evidence suggests we should lynch and then figure it out afterwards if it somehow doesn't work
I think it's possible that both you and mets end up in final 3 with one of me and silman. Given that myself(YKW) and Silman(Bojtun) are both likely SHC'd.
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07-22-2011 , 11:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
Meh
in this post mets discovers it's going to be harder to mislynch me than he thought.
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07-22-2011 , 11:53 AM
The issue I have with what sixfour is doing btw is not that I think Silman is unlynchable in a final 3 or something, but it's not "ignoring the threat" to conclude that there are other much better lynches before Silman. Once we get to either must lynch or the point where there is only one wolf left we can start making tougher evaluations of people, but for right now there is just no need to do it, and we're much more likely to distract ourselves and get off track and split the village's voting authority

I think I changed my mind about what I was going to write in the middle of that first sentence, but w/e I think it gets the point across
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07-22-2011 , 11:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Telcontar
I think it's possible that both you and mets end up in final 3 with one of me and silman. Given that myself(YKW) and Silman(Bojtun) are both likely SHC'd.
Mets is SHC too - from Dean on n3

And I'm pretty sure that one is legit, for a number of reasons, which I could spell out if it was important or had a bunch of time, but ultimately donkdonk/sixfour getting resolved removed the last bit of doubt I had about him being clear
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07-22-2011 , 12:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HerbieGRD
The issue I have with what sixfour is doing btw is not that I think Silman is unlynchable in a final 3 or something, but it's not "ignoring the threat" to conclude that there are other much better lynches before Silman.
the thing is if i'm right there aren't better lynches, and i cannot look past the mountain of evidence against him from day 1. silman being a wolf does not prevent chrja also being a wolf

cycling is done and i'm starting rereading now, may take a while
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07-22-2011 , 12:06 PM
As of Post # 1615
CountPersonVote
 chrja 
 DonkDonkDonkDonk 
 HerbieGRDMilkReggae
 metsandfinsfanZomghax
2MilkReggae 
 Perdition 
1SilmanZomghax
 sixfourSilman
 SunTzu/vyk07 
 Telcontar 
2ZomghaxMilkReggae

Please PM Corrections to Zayana




Night in 02:53
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07-22-2011 , 12:08 PM
has sixfour played werewolf before btw?
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07-22-2011 , 12:18 PM
Zomg
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07-22-2011 , 12:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HerbieGRD
Mets is SHC too - from Dean on n3

And I'm pretty sure that one is legit, for a number of reasons, which I could spell out if it was important or had a bunch of time, but ultimately donkdonk/sixfour getting resolved removed the last bit of doubt I had about him being clear
was more thinking that mets was likely to be left alive because he's trying to lynch the people who are seer hunt cleared and keep the people who aren't, alive.
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07-22-2011 , 12:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Silman
has sixfour played werewolf before btw?
once or twice maybe . . . .


Spoiler:
If it's a number less than 50, I'll be very surprised!
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07-22-2011 , 12:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Telcontar
once or twice maybe . . . .


Spoiler:
If it's a number less than 50, I'll be very surprised!
i've played nearly that many just on usg lol
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07-22-2011 , 12:45 PM
i am here dogs

anyone else?
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07-22-2011 , 12:49 PM
As of Post # 1623
CountPersonVote
 chrjaZomghax
 HerbieGRDMilkReggae
 metsandfinsfanZomghax
2MilkReggae 
1SilmanZomghax
 sixfourSilman
 SunTzu/vyk07 
 Telcontar 
3ZomghaxMilkReggae

Please PM Corrections to Zayana




Night in 02:11
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07-22-2011 , 12:49 PM
i've read through post 500, i.e. shortly into day 2.

silman looks unbelievably bad, and i'm not even taking his lolvoting into account. like even worse than i thought. just interactions with people, ykw kill (yeah, telco=v looks more obv but sniping someone who is thinking silman=w as well can be good and who makes an obvious wolf peek obvious on d1 of a 17er anyway).

see, for example, gatito's read list on post 486. his village reads are telco (based on the seer hunt), dead villager, silman then dead wolf. i think he surely puts a wolf in his first three. his wolf list is also LOL, two clear/dead villagers then one of zomg/milk/villager.

chrja looked pretty good so far. milk the same.
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