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6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread 6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread

06-29-2017 , 04:48 PM
I think your recap of Chris during last hour of day 2 is a little disingenuous Don. In general I found it really rewarding to read the thread from around post #1050 with xander and chris becoming active and discussing the day 2 lynch.

I thought xander was getting all this town cred based on hardcoreUFO barking at him, I didn't internalize him going after the UFO wagon when he did and when he had other viable options.

Stepping back the view of Chris' progression beyond the 10 minute window you capped shows he was against the myro lynch for more than just how it would make him look if it flipped. but he was also shielding UFO.

Quote:
Originally Posted by xander biscuits
UFO because they were wolfy D1 and I've seen nothing much to change my mind
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ace of Spaids
Votes from post 611 to post 1057
Night in 0:59:54

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VotesLynchVoters
4 Myrologue No Lynches (18), JMurder3 (79), hardcoreUFO (30), iraisetoomuch (38)
2 hardcoreUFO Sun Tzu (19), xander biscuits (22)
2 Sun Tzu NotGonnaLie (44), killer_kill (8)
1 unvote Donat3llo (64)
2 not voting ChrisV (10), Myrologue (104)
Quote:
Originally Posted by xander biscuits
I've gone back through and I can't find any individual post that makes UFO seem uber wolfy but it's just a general vibe. He was getting into it with robik and coming off way the worst.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
Morning bros

Donny really trending down hard to me atm.

Myro still reads fine to me. It's a little bizarre to me that anyone would think JM3's summary of my interactions with Myro is how wolves typically behave towards each other.

Don't want to kill ufo either. Don't know who I want to kill, I guess still Sun Tzu but thats more that I just have no other candidates.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ace of Spaids
Votes from post 611 to post 1078
Night in 0:39:57

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VotesLynchVoters
3 Myrologue No Lynches (18), hardcoreUFO (30), iraisetoomuch (42)
2 hardcoreUFO Sun Tzu (19), xander biscuits (23)
2 Sun Tzu NotGonnaLie (44), killer_kill (11)
1 unvote Donat3llo (64)
2 not voting ChrisV (11), Myrologue (113)
1 Error JMurder3 (81)
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
Sun Tzu
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
Actually

No Lynches

get some, bro
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
No Lynches not exactly wolfy but he occupies a wolf-shaped hole in the game. I also do not believe that he thinks Myro is a wolf.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
CFD No Lynches for great justice. He has dat day 2 posting dropoff.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ace of Spaids
Votes from post 611 to post 1101
Night in 0:29:55

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VotesLynchVoters
4 Myrologue No Lynches (18), hardcoreUFO (30), iraisetoomuch (45), JMurder3 (84)
2 hardcoreUFO Sun Tzu (19), xander biscuits (23)
2 Sun Tzu NotGonnaLie (46), killer_kill (11)
1 No Lynches ChrisV (18)
1 unvote Donat3llo (67)
1 not voting Myrologue (117)

:00 good :01 bad
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
Well in general it's not a great idea to make conditional reads i.e. ChrisV and Myro are wolves together because that's just statistically unlikely, so your hit rate is going to be lower than just picking one wolf, and this game is hard enough already.

Secondly, wolves defending their bros is just not really how this game works, especially not D1 where wolves are more likely to defend villagers to get credit so they'll be listened to on subsequent days. My defense of Zorkman is probably wolfier than my defense of Myro even if Myro is a wolf. This goes double because at the time, it looked likely that I might get lynched, either yesterday or today. I'm not going to spend my time with my head on the block hard defending my bros. At the very least, in that situation as a wolf I would be conscious of how my posts were going to look if I died and flipped wolf.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
I guess not, then.

Sun Tzu
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ace of Spaids
Votes from post 611 to post 1122
Night in 0:19:58

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VotesLynchVoters
4 Myrologue No Lynches (18), hardcoreUFO (30), iraisetoomuch (48), JMurder3 (86)
3 hardcoreUFO Sun Tzu (19), xander biscuits (23), NotGonnaLie (50)
2 Sun Tzu killer_kill (11), ChrisV (21)
1 unvote Donat3llo (70)
1 not voting Myrologue (122)

:00 good :01 bad
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
Sure, we could both be wolves, but the theory about us being wolves together doesn't add a ton of equity to that.

Toan is the best I can do, sorry. Definitely could be wrong having not played with him before, but not a lot to go on, and I actually think he has the best toan of any player.

I probably never got higher than like 20-25% chance to be lynched yesterday, but frequently wagons get cleaned up the next day. Agreed that I wouldn't just bus my bros either, the point is I'd make an effort to balance my range a bit, moreso than I would if I thought the chances of me dying were low.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ace of Spaids
Votes from post 611 to post 1128
Night in 0:14:59

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VotesLynchVoters
4 Myrologue No Lynches (18), hardcoreUFO (30), iraisetoomuch (49), JMurder3 (86)
4 hardcoreUFO Sun Tzu (19), xander biscuits (23), NotGonnaLie (50), Myrologue (124)
2 Sun Tzu killer_kill (11), ChrisV (22)
1 unvote Donat3llo (71)

:00 good :01 bad
Shortly after I voted for myro and we lynched our seer.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 04:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donat3llo
I just realized NL is voting Sun. Does that mean anything to you?
they seem slightly less likely to be w/w I guess

but wifom and all that
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 04:55 PM
Let's go for No Lynches
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:01 PM
Votes from post 1435 to post 1578
Night in 2:59:56

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VotesLynchVoters
2 ChrisV Donat3llo (55), killer_kill (2)
1 Sun Tzu No Lynches (22)
1 No Lynches xander biscuits (20)
3 not voting ChrisV (13), NotGonnaLie (24), Sun Tzu (0)
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NotGonnaLie
I think your recap of Chris during last hour of day 2 is a little disingenuous Don. In general I found it really rewarding to read the thread from around post #1050 with xander and chris becoming active and discussing the day 2 lynch.

I thought xander was getting all this town cred based on hardcoreUFO barking at him, I didn't internalize him going after the UFO wagon when he did and when he had other viable options.

Stepping back the view of Chris' progression beyond the 10 minute window you capped shows he was against the myro lynch for more than just how it would make him look if it flipped. but he was also shielding UFO.


Shortly after I voted for myro and we lynched our seer.
I was intending to be disingenuous, I was merely trying to recap the very EoD when the voting happened. Prior to that he voted everywhere but the wolf, and ended up on the seer.

Also, the post in there where he is trying to assuage heat by saying wolves don't clear and cover each other doesn't align with the other posts where he says "wolves would never bus here..." Obviously situations are nuanced but it feels like he is saying what he needs to in the moment to deflect.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:11 PM
Ugh I was hoping for more content overnight

Stealing some more sleep biab
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:15 PM
*Wasnt trying to be

Also, maybe I'm having a forest from the trees moment with regards to chris.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:34 PM
Yea I wasn't trying to imply intent, and I get that since he threw shade at you in the process it might have colored your opinion. I just wanted to show what I had seen, which doesn't make Chris look good, but if 'lynching our seer' is his cardinal sin I think it at least makes his participation in that lynch neutral.

His last minute vote and what he said afterwards are still weird af.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:36 PM
Sun Tzu, I request the guidance of your mysterious and ancient wisdom:

Are we embarking upon fruitful lines of inquiry? Should our sights be set on other shores?
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:43 PM
Donny it was obvious from earlier in the day that Myro and UFO were the wagons, why was I defending Myro so stridently and trying to run CFDs? As a wolf I'd be setting up a switch to Myro.

The reason I ended up voting Myro over UFO was that I didn't think either of them were wolves, but a couple of people I was pretty certain were villagers (definitely JM, I think there was another) were adamant that he was a wolf, so I went with their read given that I didn't know who to pick from my own reads.

Just gonna dig this post out again from EOD:

Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
we have to lynch bolder than this tomorrow, this was ****ing limp
I was not happy with either option, like I said. Your argument now is going to be "hurrr but you could fake that post as a wolf", yet when it comes to faking REALLY REALLY OBVIOUS THINGS like not manoeuvering myself into a position where I have to put the hammer down on the counterwagon to my bro despite defending that player all day, you don't give me a lot of credit.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:47 PM
ChrisV, can you explain the part after the bolded "REALLY REALLY OBVIOUS..." line? It's entirely possible that these things aren't as obvious to me.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:49 PM
Also tbf, you're asking for me to give you credit when you just said you, a veteran and very good ww player, sheeped jm3s read, who fully admits he isnt that good at hunting wolves.

That seems odd to me.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donat3llo
Fwiw, I don't think ChrisV is the lazy lynch. I think it makes the most sense given the info we have.
I'd point out that although I only have two people voting me, I have only one player sort of half heartedly defending me. I sure seem like the lazy lynch. Frankly I thought I'd have more people defending me by now based on my post quality, but when 1/3 of the game are wolves it's a tough crowd I guess.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
I dunno, I feel like Sun has been more actively wolfy and with you it's more like... I feel like you fit into a slot in the game where a wolf could be. You've been a bit detached, I guess.
Chris what actively wolfy things do you think Sun has done?

Also you twice used this 'wolf-shaped slot' metaphor and I think its a really unfair way to describe someone. It gives them nothing to defend against. Needs additional citation.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:54 PM
@donny

why not join me on a No Lynches lynch?

you said it was the venn diagram overlap
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
I'd point out that although I only have two people voting me, I have only one player sort of half heartedly defending me. I sure seem like the lazy lynch. Frankly I thought I'd have more people defending me by now based on my post quality, but when 1/3 of the game are wolves it's a tough crowd I guess.
There are still others that need to weigh in, so it's far from certain.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donat3llo
ChrisV, can you explain the part after the bolded "REALLY REALLY OBVIOUS..." line? It's entirely possible that these things aren't as obvious to me.
As a wolf I would not spend all day defending Myro and then put the hammer on him over my bro at EOD with no progression. I simply would not do that, ever.

And your reaction is going to be well maybe that's just what he wants us to think, but the fact is, there's no advantage to doing it. As you can see today, what it gets you is heat. I frankly don't expect to be able to convince you that I wouldn't do that as a wolf, because that's the way this works, you can never stop people tinfoiling that maybe you're setting them up, and that's WHY I DONT DO THAT AS A WOLF.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Donat3llo
Also tbf, you're asking for me to give you credit when you just said you, a veteran and very good ww player, sheeped jm3s read, who fully admits he isnt that good at hunting wolves.

That seems odd to me.
I suck at hunting wolves as well, for the record. I'm somewhat better at hunting villagers.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NotGonnaLie
My problem with lynching chris today, is it seems like exactly the laziest option.

If I'm in your POE I want to move up or down it today. That'd be pretty unlazy.
I dont think you're a wolf at all. You and xander are my strongest villas rn. We need to just have some trust in someone. Like we cant all be wolves and we need to figure out who we want to do. I get that wolves are trying to run this lynch so we gotta not miss here.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Donat3llo
NL 100% has this game in his wolf range, despite me liking some of the interactions we have had. I do think they've demonstrated some attempts to solve the game, but admitted they were a bit lost themselves. I have enough respect for NL's wolf game that I could prob see their villa flip and still not quite believe it.

Sun has an organic tone and flow to his (few) posts. I know killer mentioned anyone can go back and quote posts, but the way he did it (and especially the order) show he was reading/catching up through the day as it went. Which to me suggests he was actually trying to read the thread, instead of looking for things to naturally enter with.

Not sure if that is a good or worthwhile read though
I mean i cant argue that nl is or isnt in his wolf range per se but it seems haphazard to phrase things as wolf range. Were not playing 200bb deep poker were one off of ml and things like voting records, prior leans and fake peeks are more helpful.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Donat3llo
Says he isn't comfortable. To be clear, he says he isn't comfortable between a wolf wagon and a seer wagon.

As a wolf he wouldn't be comfortable sending his bro to die, and he woudln't be comfortable being on a wagon that ships the seer to the fire for the future implications.



Then he votes a villager instead of the seer or the wolf wagon. (doesn't mean anything to you obvi, but to me it's him trying to lynch a villa and ignoring the trouble spots in lynching the seer as a wolf or lynching his bro as a wolf)



Then he lands on the seer, tbf it was at 8:00pm





Says here that he had an inkling myro could be the seer, but also admits that he forgot. So he says he forgot myro cleared him, and he missed myro's seer post. So why does he land his vote on myro when it seems like he wasn't paying much attention to what myro was actually doing?

One theory is forgetfulness, lord knows short term memory is a *****. Another is they're excuses for lynching the seer.
No one in tbe history of seers has ever forgotten who peeked them esp when theyre vanillager and the peek is legit. You ALWAYS know th le person peeking you in a 13er.

Quote:
Originally Posted by xander biscuits
Let's go for No Lynches
Im not against it but i think chris is better. Im willing to follow you potentially tho since youre pretty clear.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by xander biscuits
@donny

why not join me on a No Lynches lynch?

you said it was the venn diagram overlap
It is the overlap and I very well may end up there, as id much rather lynch in my likely two wolf candidates than outside of it.

But for now id like to lynch Chris and get other people's opinions.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 05:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NotGonnaLie
Chris what actively wolfy things do you think Sun has done?

Also you twice used this 'wolf-shaped slot' metaphor and I think its a really unfair way to describe someone. It gives them nothing to defend against. Needs additional citation.
Nothing actively wolfy. I don't think his tone has been that great, he's come in and dropped random reads posts that are easy to fake in my view.

This is Sun's game though, he never tries to be particularly villagery, and as a result he's near unreadable. You just have to POE him, which is what I'm doing now as I'm pretty confident you, killer, xander are villagers. If I'm wrong about someone in there it's killer.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 06:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
I dunno, I feel like Sun has been more actively wolfy and with you it's more like... I feel like you fit into a slot in the game where a wolf could be. You've been a bit detached, I guess.
You used exactly those two words. I don't think he's been particularly active or wolfy and certainly not a combination of the two.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 06:01 PM
Votes from post 1435 to post 1596
Night in 1:59:53

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VotesLynchVoters
2 ChrisV Donat3llo (61), killer_kill (3)
1 Sun Tzu No Lynches (23)
1 No Lynches xander biscuits (21)
3 not voting ChrisV (17), NotGonnaLie (28), Sun Tzu (0)
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 06:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
Donny it was obvious from earlier in the day that Myro and UFO were the wagons, why was I defending Myro so stridently and trying to run CFDs? As a wolf I'd be setting up a switch to Myro.

The reason I ended up voting Myro over UFO was that I didn't think either of them were wolves, but a couple of people I was pretty certain were villagers (definitely JM, I think there was another) were adamant that he was a wolf, so I went with their read given that I didn't know who to pick from my own reads.

Just gonna dig this post out again from EOD:



I was not happy with either option, like I said. Your argument now is going to be "hurrr but you could fake that post as a wolf", yet when it comes to faking REALLY REALLY OBVIOUS THINGS like not manoeuvering myself into a position where I have to put the hammer down on the counterwagon to my bro despite defending that player all day, you don't give me a lot of credit.
I mean what does lynch more bold mean when 7 people voted for the wagon? I also dont see why a wolf wouldn't wanna start a cfd onto a villa from other villas. Its like if it doesnt work then you get to push the person lynching the villa ajd can still push your other ml.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 06:05 PM
Im torn on donnie but i think i just gotta clear him and clinch my butthole.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote
06-29-2017 , 06:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NotGonnaLie
You used exactly those two words. I don't think he's been particularly active or wolfy and certainly not a combination of the two.
Heh. Fair. I forgot I posted that.

It's hard to articulate.... all of Sun's posts fit into a "possibly wolfy" category. I guess I'd say that I think Sun's posts are the sort of thing I'd come up with if I were a wolf in the game, but that that isn't particularly alignment indicative for him. Whereas NL's posts are fine as far as they go, but he's seemed sort of detached, not very helpful, doesn't seem to have any strong opinions either or really want to lynch anyone in particular. That's what I mean about a wolf shaped hole.
6/26 Game of Thrones vanilla WW game thread Quote

      
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