Despite no one sending me to Disney World in MSU's little scenarios, I shall be sending myself to Disney World (for reals!) today. I'll check in before bed. Two thoughts I had before heading out.
Welcome back, bhuber.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bhuber2010
road also seemed super detached in his EOD 1 and his list of acceptable votes was horrendous - i can see he's already getting railroaded today though so it probably cant hurt that he has a little extra pressure on him already with 39 hours to basically talk us through it
The underlined part greatly devalues any reads he gives on road while catching up. Like Slendy said, I would have much rather seen what he had to think before knowing the current state of the game.
Quote:
Originally Posted by road
Lol this seems opportunistic. What are the math behind this thought? From what I read there you think there are a bigger probability that bhuber are mafia than me.
You are just assuming in your conclusio nthat either of us flips mafia. Try to consider the fact that we could flip villagers. I know i will flip villager, and then what info have you gained?
I think bhuber wil lflip villager, and then what info have you gained?
I think this is the wrong way to look at it.
I mean, if i were to be lynched and flip scum, then you would say that riki couldnt be my partner, which means bhuber would be next for lynch. The the info gained with lynching me is no bigger than lynching bhuber, because he would be lynched anyway - from your train of thoughts.
I just dont see why it makes sense to not lynch who you find most scummy in this situation.
Just because I find more possible teams that include bhuber than include you does not mathematically equal that I find bhuber most scummy.
At the time when I made that post, the info gained from bhuber was pretty much nothing, regardless of his flip. You flipping mafia makes Riki look better to me, and narrows my focus to mostly bhuber and Banks. I'll admit, I've perhaps tunneled that scenario a bit cause I think it's most likely. You flipping town would mean I'd have to go back and reevaluate a lot, but my initial thought is that it makes Riki and me look a fair bit worse, and I'm not sure what it says about bhuber and Banks.
Quote:
Originally Posted by road
I have had an odd feeling about this, but i fakepeeked you [Banks] so wasnt able to ask you a lot during most of d1 and d2
I don't know much about this whole strategy of fake-scanning people, but reading this makes me realize that picking a scumbuddy to fake-scan as town and announcing it to the thread sounds like a good way to avoid having to interact with them much. I point this out knowing that, to anyone considering me scum, I'm guilty of the same thing with Ratchet, minus the clear announcement. I choose to draw attention to it anyways.
Ok. I'm off to lunch at Disney.