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11-21-2012 , 04:02 PM

#9926

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 47,020

Quote:

Originally Posted by confirmedtroll

loosekanen i think

Well ****. Was hoping his role would've given us a clue but I guess not

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:02 PM

#9927

confirmedtroll

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Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 22,949

well, TN can spew a lot. look at the EOD where xxsooted got lynched, and the one where effen got lynched.

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:04 PM

#9928

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 47,020

Quote:

Originally Posted by confirmedtroll

well, TN can spew a lot. look at the EOD where xxsooted got lynched, and the one where effen got lynched.

Fair enough. If silman is the last wolf then I guess she was telling the truth (and we are prob ****ed). If he's not, less likely.

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:09 PM

#9929

Vagos

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Richard Tanner

Fair enough. If silman is the last wolf then I guess she was telling the truth (and we are prob ****ed). If he's not, less likely.

Explain how we're ****ed if Silman is the last wolf?

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:13 PM

#9930

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Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 47,020

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vagos

Explain how we're ****ed if Silman is the last wolf?

Because that gives credit to what TN was saying which means a big neutral team. We aren't even close to on to them and we font have a ton of mislynches to spare. That's bad for us IMO, you disagree?

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:17 PM

#9931

vyk07

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Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 34,578

4 villagers ITT right now

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11-21-2012 , 04:17 PM

#9932

Vagos

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Join Date: Nov 2003 Posts: 40,963

Quote:

Originally Posted by Richard Tanner

Because that gives credit to what TN was saying which means a big neutral team. We aren't even close to on to them and we font have a ton of mislynches to spare. That's bad for us IMO, you disagree?

Well, how big can a neutral team be really if it's only an 8 man wolf team? 3? Slightly worse for us then if there's 9 wolves and 2 neutrals or 10 wolves and a lone SK, but not by much.

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:18 PM

#9933

vyk07

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Vagos

Vyk, I need you to work with me on some other possibilities today in the event that DWetz is the lynch (after Silman) and ends up flipping villa.

Dwetz is never a villager

he outed himself last night

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:19 PM

#9934

vyk07

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Dwetz and Accobra are on the same team 100% of the time and neither are villagers

They're either the neutrals who may or may not exist or they are both silmans teammates

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:20 PM

#9935

Vagos

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Quote:

Originally Posted by vyk07

Dwetz is never a villager

he outed himself last night

So you would just wave the white flag if he did somehow flipped villa?

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:20 PM

#9936

vyk07

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since there's no neutral NK, I'd cap them at 2 max

but that would mean they control the dayvig and have been intentionally sabotaging the game by shooting villagers, unless there's exactly only 1 w0alf left (silman)

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:21 PM

#9937

vyk07

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Vagos

So you would just wave the white flag if he did somehow flipped villa?

it's literally impossible for him to flip villager unless this is the worst village game of all time

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:21 PM

#9938

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 47,020

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vagos

Well, how big can a neutral team be really if it's only an 8 man wolf team? 3? Slightly worse for us then if there's 9 wolves and 2 neutrals or 10 wolves and a lone SK, but not by much.

The problem isn't entirely the numbers its our leans. I think we have the wolves in bad shape but we have no real neutral leans right now which will kill us once we get the last wolf if there is more than one neutral.

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:21 PM

#9939

vyk07

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this game looks alot different right now if henrik had managed to submit his winning basketball score and earn that vig instead of dwetzel yesterday

shame that I couldn't play that game at the office

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:22 PM

#9940

Namath12

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Unless neuts have a RB Silman is not the last wolf. Or maybe xxsooted role blocked me after I outed binkles wolf.

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:22 PM

#9941

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 47,020

Quote:

Originally Posted by vyk07

Dwetz and Accobra are on the same team 100% of the time and neither are villagers

They're either the neutrals who may or may not exist or they are both silmans teammates

If they're both on the same team then DW is really dumb IMO.

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:22 PM

#9942

vyk07

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Richard Tanner

dwetz
accobra

very strong possibility

we need to lynch 1 of the 2 tonight

if we hit the day vig we're back in the game

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:23 PM

#9943

vyk07

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Richard Tanner

If they're both on the same team then DW is really dumb IMO.

no he's not, you saw how much he struggled the moment I submitted accobra's name for the hitlist

he immediately popped the skepticalleonardo.jpg and then agreed to it after we pressured him and then 10 min before eod he turned tail

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:24 PM

#9944

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 47,020

I have issues with those two being on the same team, but regardless of that, why don't we lynch the peeked wolf?

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:24 PM

#9945

vyk07

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Ashington

Unless neuts have a RB Silman is not the last wolf. Or maybe xxsooted role blocked me after I outed binkles wolf.

ashington are you still around?

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:25 PM

#9946

vyk07

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Richard Tanner

I have issues with those two being on the same team, but regardless of that, why don't we lynch the peeked wolf?

he's never a RB or dayvig

and if he's telling the truth we have to lynch a neutral and if dwetz or accobra flips that, the other one is outed

it's all about maximizing our EV at this point

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:25 PM

#9947

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 47,020

Quote:

Originally Posted by vyk07

I see what you're saying.but doesn't he HAVE to shot Accobra last night no matter what since if one of them flips (likely DW since he broke the plan) it incriminates the other?

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:25 PM

#9948

vyk07

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Richard Tanner

I see what you're saying.but doesn't he HAVE to shot Accobra last night no matter what since if one of them flips (likely DW since he broke the plan) it incriminates the other?

not when the entire burden of the shot is entirely on my shoulder's seeing how the village was in full agreement to let me handpick the shot

Quote

11-21-2012 , 04:26 PM

#9949

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 47,020

Quote:

Originally Posted by vyk07

he's never a RB or dayvig

and if he's telling the truth we have to lynch a neutral and if dwetz or accobra flips that, the other one is outed

it's all about maximizing our EV at this point

Then the wolves get another NK for sure. That's not helping our EV any right?