11/15 NBA Mishmash Game Thread - Page 397 - Puzzles and Other Games Forum

More I think about it, I think it's actually really possible that the wolves have 2 left after Silman which are exactly RB'er and Godfather. Them having a g/f alive this late in the game who has not yet been peeked is the only thing that makes sense with Ash continually being left alive AND not RB'd.

Whats worse is that a lone SK probably peeks as villager too. This means that unless Ash peeks exactly the wolf RB'er and then stops peeking, his role can start being used against us. Thoughts?

This actually makes a descent amount of sense, and if true lolwolves

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11-21-2012 , 02:28 PM

#9902

DWetzel

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It is dumb and unproductive to guess what should be when we will know what IS soon enough.

Discuss what happens in each case by all means but guessing probability of mod fail is useless.

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11-21-2012 , 02:31 PM

#9903

confirmedtroll

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sorry vagos i thought the 1 in 8/2/1 meant 1 wolf

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11-21-2012 , 02:32 PM

#9904

confirmedtroll

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i agree with the GF+RB theory of vagos btw

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11-21-2012 , 02:35 PM

#9905

looshle

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6/10 event PMs are in

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11-21-2012 , 02:39 PM

#9906

Vagos

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And just to clarify, my bad if it's already been mentioned:

DWetz can almost NEVER be the last remaining wolf here, since he would have just shot Accobra (who would have to be villa or neutral) to clear himself in the eyes of the village. The only way (imo anyways) that DWetz can be a wolf is if the remaining wolf team after Silman is exactly DWetz/Accobra, which is certainly possible, but just keep that in mind.

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11-21-2012 , 02:42 PM

#9907

confirmedtroll

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Vagos

i was probably wrong to put you in the second place in my wolf lists.

at least it made me reconsider my work.

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11-21-2012 , 03:10 PM

#9908

looshle

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I'm going to rand the other event entries by 4pm EST.

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11-21-2012 , 03:18 PM

#9909

vyk07

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I'm at a loss for words

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11-21-2012 , 03:19 PM

#9910

vyk07

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Dwetzel

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11-21-2012 , 03:20 PM

#9911

vyk07

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Silman
Dwetz
Accobra

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11-21-2012 , 03:30 PM

#9912

Vagos

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Vagos

Vyk, can you comment on this? Agree or disagree?

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11-21-2012 , 03:42 PM

#9913

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Vagos

This is a solid theory. Only other things that would make sense are:
1) he's being alive to be bait for a mislynch as a neutral
2) the wolves have given up and are just firing randomly

Neither of those is worth considering IMO.

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11-21-2012 , 03:44 PM

#9914

vyk07

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Vagos, we've probably been punked

There is no neutral team. If there ways they'd have started shooting w0alves days ago

I'm probably alive bc I've been peeked and several villagers left in the game don't agree with me, so they go after higher priority targets. Plus I have no idea what's going with ash and the angel

Fortunately, dwetzel and accobra are outed. village just has to man up, look past their ramblings and loynch both along with silman

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11-21-2012 , 03:45 PM

#9915

vyk07

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Tanner if you're a villager like I think you are, throw in with vagos, ct and myself

Only chance we have to win

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11-21-2012 , 03:49 PM

#9916

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Quote:

Originally Posted by vyk07

Tanner if you're a villager like I think you are, throw in with vagos, ct and myself

Only chance we have to win

I'm down to help ldo but I'm not so quick to dismiss a neutral team (or really an SK). What game doesn't have neutrals? I realize we are in POG and they hate fun stuff hut c'mon.

I absolutely agree that if there is an SK, and he is LMS his kills make no sense.

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11-21-2012 , 03:52 PM

#9917

confirmedtroll

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Quote:

Originally Posted by vyk07

ftr i exposed first yesterday that there was likely no neutral team.

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11-21-2012 , 03:53 PM

#9918

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Has anyone looked for a trigger in the "suicide" kills? Maybe they didn't post enough the day prior or maybe they were the first post each day or something like that? Would make more sense then these random ass kills.

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11-21-2012 , 03:56 PM

#9919

confirmedtroll

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Richard Tanner

i looked at it. it was always short around the thread opening.
it was always a "clear" high posting player.

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11-21-2012 , 03:58 PM

#9920

Vagos

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If there aren't any neutrals, we're back to lost wolf day vig theory, right? (In order to resolve the fact that wolf Forsythio was the d2 vig). That scenario still seems less likely to me than a neutral or neutral team (if it's 2-3 neutrals we're probably screwed).

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11-21-2012 , 03:59 PM

#9921

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Also, didn't someone make a post about the incoming "****show" at endgame or something? It was a while ago. Would like to hear from them if they're still around.

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11-21-2012 , 04:00 PM

#9922

confirmedtroll

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i dont know what to make of thenothing's spite of EOD yesterday. its either that the wolves are indeed in a terrible shape and there are 2 neutrals around, or its a try to fool us. we will know for sure when silman flips i guess.

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11-21-2012 , 04:00 PM

#9923

Vagos

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Vyk, I need you to work with me on some other possibilities today in the event that DWetz is the lynch (after Silman) and ends up flipping villa.

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11-21-2012 , 04:00 PM

#9924

confirmedtroll

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Richard Tanner

Also, didn't someone make a post about the incoming "****show" at endgame or something? It was a while ago. Would like to hear from them if they're still around.

loosekanen i think