Quote:
Originally Posted by accobra_kid
Doing so would put the responsibility of the lynch on their shoulders, which would eventually put big targets on their back when KruZe flips villa and Effen flips wolf.
No it's not quite so simple as that. Ash - who's about as lock as we get - although we still have to have 1-2% doubt - was on the Kruze wagon. You I guess will say it was a good wagon - don't be results oriented. So could sniping wolves. BR did a.59 snipe to the wagon. Hardcore did a failed .01 snipe to it. Are they getting pressure? No.
Summary: the wolves could easily have done this snipe and ridden out the consequences - particularly in view of the fighting itt today - some of which I fear must be v-v
Ok - the numbers game. Things to think about before you all sleep.
Start with say 12w/1n or 12w/1lw. Wolves kill Kruze and the nk - Effen still unflipped. Numbers are 9-7-1 - is that too much of a gamble to go for? What about if they do control the 'suicide' kill? Then it's 8-8 as we go to eod today.
Alternative start scenario: 11w/1n/lw. Taking that snipe would give 10-6-1 or 10-7 + controled kill = 9-7 . People with experience of wolfing/seeing wolf teams in action: do the wolves somewhat expose themselves to go to 9-7?
Assuming no more information we lynch TN tonight. We
must have a good clear second wagon in case she has angeled herself last night.
In any case we then need to be very calm and figure out who is where on the affiliation spectrum (as far as possible).