Quote:
Originally Posted by traz
There are too many unknown roles. We won't know what's happening. We kill him tomorrow.
I've been in games where someone has fake claimed seer as a wolf and then gone on to win. Don't do that.
Are you familiar with the concept of Occam's Razor? (Ockham's Razor, or however you spell it.)
The simplest solution is most likely to be correct.
Which is simpler? Foolishness is scum, who is faking a guilty on either a scumbuddy or a townie, who is claiming just to survive for a bit longer when ultimately that claim will backfire because there are too many town players alive and too many dead scum...
...Or that Foolishness is town, telling the truth, who has just netted us the fourth scum? Leaving a meager 3/18 left.
It's a simple matter of math, really. Foolishness is not a lynch candidate. Not today, not tomorrow, pretty much never. Because (1) Foolishness is telling the truth and is town, and (2) even if Foolishness were lying, the info from Foolishness's results can be used for at least two or three more days, by my math, before it's a risk.