chk back or bet fold? - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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chk back or bet fold?

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01-08-2018 , 03:06 PM

Colinb7

adept

Join Date: Mar 2014 Posts: 731

Villain is 50/14 over 20 hands or so. No reads post flop

Comments on sizing appreciated - felt like bets were as big as i could get away with without telegraphing strength of my hand.

On the river, I couldnt see much that would call a 3rd barrel. I do think a flush draw is a fairly big part of his range after calling 2 streets...fish love to chase! I have 3 kings so having the case king is unlikely, and I'm pretty sure hes not got a set.

Bet/fold river or just check back?

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37926284

BTN: $25.46 (254.6 bb)
SB: $11.24 (112.4 bb)
BB: $10.92 (109.2 bb)
UTG+1: $2.53 (25.3 bb)
UTG+2: $9.45 (94.5 bb)
MP1: $12.94 (129.4 bb)
MP2: $10.68 (106.8 bb)
MP3: $20.03 (200.3 bb)
Hero (CO): $14.81 (148.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K

3 folds, MP2 raises to $0.20, MP3 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, 3 folds, MP2 calls $0.40

Flop: ($1.35) 3

(2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $0.80, MP2 calls $0.80

Turn: ($2.95) 9

(2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $1.80, MP2 calls $1.80

River: ($6.55) J

(2 players)
MP2 checks

Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.

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01-08-2018 , 06:43 PM

Brussels Sprout

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 1,783

I like a small thin value bet of something like $2.50 with an easy fold to any raise. I suspect this villain type would have bet the river with a flush. He can't have a lot of combos that would have gotten this far and would call another bet with a worse hand but then again he is playing 50/14.

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01-08-2018 , 07:12 PM

HotChips

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2016 Posts: 316

50/14 after 20 hands could turn into any player type after 300 hands...

There are so many hands villain can have that we beat that will call a river bet i think a 3rd barrel is almost mandatory..

I think sometimes i bet half pot, sometimes full pot, and sometimes overbet shove and be amazed at what calls..

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01-09-2018 , 09:10 AM

Percyeus86

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 623

I'd go with the check back personally, as that Jh is probably one of the worst cards we could have hoped for. All his flushes hit, as well as QTs for the straight.

I don't see what else he could have in his range that makes it this far that we are ahead of on this river except maybe, just maybe KQ, KJ...

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01-09-2018 , 09:53 AM

ScoopMonkey

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,910

Clear bet imo. I'd go bigger turn as well.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Percyeus86

I'd go with the check back personally, as that Jh is probably one of the worst cards we could have hoped for. All his flushes hit, as well as QTs for the straight.

I don't see what else he could have in his range that makes it this far that we are ahead of on this river except maybe, just maybe KQ, KJ...

If he's bad enough to reverse-float QTs on that flop, he's bad enough to call a value-bet with way worse.

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01-09-2018 , 10:58 AM

Percyeus86

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 623

Quote:

Originally Posted by ScoopMonkey

Clear bet imo. I'd go bigger turn as well.

If he's bad enough to reverse-float QTs on that flop, he's bad enough to call a value-bet with way worse.

Definitely bet bigger on turn with the intention of jamming any river then has to be the plan. I can buy into that, yeah.

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01-11-2018 , 03:36 AM

pokerforumposter

adept

Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 856

A ton of flushes can be discounted from preflop action, you beat every ak kq sets and twopair, bet 2.50 imo

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