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5NL: Facing river shove with top set 150BB deep 5NL: Facing river shove with top set 150BB deep

02-03-2018 , 06:58 AM
Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 109.6 BB (VPIP: 21.90, PFR: 14.05, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 431)
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 25.98, PFR: 18.96, 3Bet Preflop: 9.30, Hands: 3,863)
MP: 56.2 BB (VPIP: 20.75, PFR: 3.77, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 53)
CO: 191.8 BB (VPIP: 31.06, PFR: 24.24, 3Bet Preflop: 10.64, Hands: 134)
BTN: 167.2 BB (VPIP: 21.82, PFR: 15.38, 3Bet Preflop: 4.94, Hands: 2,108)
Hero (SB): 151.6 BB

Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J J

fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 10 BB, fold, CO calls 7 BB

Flop: (21 BB, 2 players) 8 T 7
Hero bets 13.6 BB, CO calls 13.6 BB

Turn: (48.2 BB, 2 players) J
Hero bets 26.8 BB, CO calls 26.8 BB

River: (101.8 BB, 2 players) 2
Hero checks, CO bets 141.4 BB and is all-in, Hero?
5NL: Facing river shove with top set 150BB deep Quote
02-03-2018 , 09:40 AM
Probably would go a little larger on the flop since this is one of the worst boards possible for our range. Checking seems alright too, but I typically don't do it with overpairs in this spot and prefer it more with my suited Txs.

I'd just check turn, presumably for the same reasons you checked river. It's a runout that is absolutely miserable for us, so I'd think we should be checking fairly often anyway. It gives villain an opportunity to turn marginal 0-out SDV hands into bluffs, and it's not like we need to protect our hand from a whole lot.

I'm c/c'ing river as played and feel gross about it, but we're probably at the top of our range, if not really close to it. I check 99/98s/T9s OTF. I don't 3-bet J9s / A9s all that often. I can't have much better than JJ.
5NL: Facing river shove with top set 150BB deep Quote
02-03-2018 , 02:22 PM
Prefer bet folding the river with a fairly small bet. We can still get value from 2p and lower sets. We have multiple 9x in our range so we dont have to worry about being bluffed. X/c seems pretty terrible since v should always have sdv vs our checking range and should just check back all non-straights.
5NL: Facing river shove with top set 150BB deep Quote
02-03-2018 , 09:09 PM
Prob fold river as played. Definitely checking turn though and calling any bets he makes and re evaluating on river and probably check calling. I think he is less likely to bluff here because you bet the turn. Pretty reads based, you need to be good like 33% of the time here for a call roughly. Don't think your decision matters much either way without reads on the river so flip a coin.
5NL: Facing river shove with top set 150BB deep Quote
02-03-2018 , 09:41 PM
Tough hand. Thanks for posting it.

I think flop is close between checking and betting but op+gs has too much equity to check here and needs protection from overcards.

Ott I could go either way and I think this hand can go in to both ranges (best c/c, one of the worst vbets) but personally I would c/c and then c/c here again because villain has slight range advantage imo. Yeah we have 9x here too but we might check some of them otf and he has more random A9 stuff than we do (nl5). All in all a close spot in every street except pre where I'd go ever so slightly bigger when this deep oop.
5NL: Facing river shove with top set 150BB deep Quote
02-04-2018 , 12:12 AM
Checking turn here personally. Rivers pretty gross but I'm leaning towards a fold, I don't think villain is bluffing here that often
5NL: Facing river shove with top set 150BB deep Quote
02-04-2018 , 02:05 AM
check turn indeed, with most of your range
5NL: Facing river shove with top set 150BB deep Quote

      
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