16nlz - QQ Facing River Bet In 4BP - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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16nlz - QQ Facing River Bet In 4BP

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08-27-2017 , 06:49 PM

bharrison

adept

Join Date: Dec 2014 Posts: 743

Poker Stars, $0.08/$0.16 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37817688

BTN: $14.38 (89.9 bb)
SB: $50.26 (314.1 bb)
BB: $22.13 (138.3 bb)
UTG: $18.53 (115.8 bb)
MP: $16 (100 bb)
Hero (CO): $43.90 (274.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q

UTG raises to $0.40, MP folds, Hero raises to $1.20, 2 folds, BB raises to $3.60, UTG folds, Hero calls $2.40

Flop: ($7.68) 4

(2 players)
BB bets $4, Hero calls $4

Turn: ($15.68) 3

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($15.68) J

(2 players)
BB bets $5.28, Hero folds

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seems hard for villain to have a bluff and/or bet worse for value but only need to be good 1 in 5, is folding fine?

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08-27-2017 , 07:05 PM

ALongmuir

adept

Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 1,072

Although the board looks bad, it's pretty much a brick given pre ranges (except A5s, that bets turn and possibly some SCs in villains range obvs depends on their range, but you have 0 in your range). For this reason, villain should value bet a lot of their range OTT therefore villains line doesn't make too much sense (given that most players won't be balancing ranges with xs with AA etc).

With that price, I think it's a bad fold. Villain may be value betting AJ/JX occasionally given that you've x turn (people assume no overpairs in you range) or looking to bluff out AK/TT.

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08-27-2017 , 07:17 PM

Brokenstars

Verified Coach NLHE

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 16,102

Honestly seems good from an exploitative pov.

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