Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 2,474
You probably won't get a lot of help around here. But the hyperboreans at University of Alberta, inter alia, have published much public literature on the theoretical approach to the problem. They're partial to the 100,000 foot view.
IMO, however, the best approach would be always minding game-theoretic considerations while making rapacious use of real-world data.
I would wish you luck, but it's of no use.