PokerStars - $1 Ante $2 NL (2 max) - Holdem - 2 players

Hero (BB): 150.6 BB
SB: 949.4 BB

2 players, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has Ah 7c
SB raises to 3.5 BB, Hero calls 2.5 BB

Flop : (7 BB, 2 players) 7s 8h As
Hero checks, SB bets 8 BB, Hero calls 8 BB

Turn : (21 BB, 2 players) 6h
Hero checks, SB checks

River : (21 BB, 2 players) Js
Hero checks, SB bets 36 BB, fold



Opinions? I have some doubts while was playing, The call in River by GTO is EV+.First of all my range is really weak in this situation I don't have too much colours playing X behind when I complete in R, this is a good point to X some Draws for the future. Anyway I think the call is EV- with this hand, because T9, 95 are playing B-B-B. the point is: which bluffs he have? He don't have too much, because the J in the River complete a lot of their part that he wants to X like J9 and JT... He supose to bluff some bloquers in R like 9X and TX, but this hands are betting as well Turn. And I don't think that he is betting 97 or T7 like that.

I think you must call otherwise will fold too much.

I also think that you are overthinking what bluff v. May have and under thinking what value he have. I also think he s not supposed to have T9 or much strong value after checking back turn.

This is why he goes for the overbet river also. A normal bet will get called a lot with a BXB line.

I think he can just have a hand without showdown value and prefer those with a 9 or T in them.

I think he s targeting a fold from Ax and if he has JJ or AJ You have to pay

Ok, here is my two cents. I don't mean to be rude but I don't completely understand your English or your reasoning, so forgive me if I've missed something.

First off, A7o is a slightly loose call from the BB.

Second, so much of this depends on the tendencies of this opponent. Has he overbet the river like this before? It looks so much like a made flush trying to make up value there. I think it's terrible to call there.

Finally, I assume for him to get that deep and you to get to 150bb you must have been playing for a while. He must also have been winning for a while. So he probably 1) doesn't have a very high opinion of the hero and expects to get paid off; 2) Wants to keep you short stacked, and so won't be making any crazy plays that would allow you to get deeper with him. I think these reasons add to the fact that it is likely to be a strong made hand here.

Overall: Don't call preflop with A7o unless he's opening super tight from the button, and definitely don't call in a spot like this. I think that would be insane