hey guys, first time posting in the HU forum since I play 95% sixmax.

I have 1,3k hands on villian
Villain has the following fold to cbet stats:
flop 43%
turn 50%
river 67%

He is folding to 3bets 41% of the time.
Because villian is a bit callhappy vs 3bets and cbets, I think he may get to the river with a wider range than usual. Moreover, he seems to be overfolding to rivers. Is this a reasonable line?

From a balance perspective, I need arround 20 bluffcombos, since with my 3betrange headsup, I have 41 value combos OTR. I'm thinking to use QJs because of the great Kx blockers as well as AJ since it has lower showdownvalue then AQ but basically the same blocker value right? That would mean I have exactly 20 bluffcombos.

In this situation I decided to overbluff and shoved with AQ here as well because of the high fold to rivercbet.
Appreciate any feedback

guessing ur sampel for the river folds is most likely too small.

More useful information is what type of hands did he showdown with when he did call OTR? if he has any hero calls with like 3rd pair or worse, am def not shipping here with AQo

Thank you for your response! How many hands do I need for the fold to river cbet stat to be meaningful?

I sadly don't remember what hands he called with since I played this hand quite a while ago and only managed to start reviewing today. So all I have to go of are stats...

When he calls you on the turn I think your in trouble. If I took your line I probably give up on river. I would be more inclined to tripple barrel river if a scare card came, like the board pairs. But I would prefer to give up on turn. Also I might bet closer to pot on turn to end the hand right there or give up.

Seems fine if you're confident that he overfolds here, my default would be to check the river though.

why did u cbet 1/2 pot on the flop, seems like autopilot to me. I like chkcalling or really small like 1/5 pot. Your hand is too strong on the flop to think about triple barreling imo