Quote:
Originally Posted by novahunterpa
My biggest concern in the House is Pelosi and some other key Dems not wanting this as well as many GOP members who might see this as a Hairy Reid "entitlement". With all the talk of entitlement reform and getting rid of hidden attachments and fully debating legislation (yeah right) the GOP and some dems may not go for this in an effort to appeal to their base in lite of the recent election B.S.
I think you underestimate Reid's remaining political capital.
Here are my brief thoughts before I head to bed:
-Reid will still be the Senate majority leader after the new congress is sworn in, which is an extremely powerful position.
-A divided government, especially with the GOP edge in the House, is going to have a difficult time getting any of their own pet projects/favored legislation passed if they don't work together.
-Both parties essentially have the ability to lock each other out.
-Both parties have things they must get done to maintain their image with their constituencies.
-Democrats will need Reid to help them push through bills either for their locality or greater legislation
-Republicans will need Reid to be willing to bargain with them and give and take in order to get anything done.
-I don't think anyone outside of a few exceptions is willing to burn a considerable amount of political capital (such as what is needed to extend the Bush tax cuts) over online poker
-Pelosi needs Reid if she has a prayer of maintaining any influence
-There's probably enough votes to get it done in the house anyways even if Frank can't muster everyone up. Remember, the GOP was not universally behind the Frist move.
-I doubt anyone's constituencies will really care that much given everything else that's going on. It'll be a blip in the news that no one will see the effect of for a long time. Bigger fish to fry.
-$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ in tax revenue is hard to turn down right now, especially if you need to meet statutory paygo and regular paygo and whatever the hell else they have going on right now.
-Reid has a huge interest in getting this done, as having the casino lobby and their wallets behind him and the rest of the DNC in Nevada is HUUUUUGEE... ESPECIALLY after how narrow the margin of victory was (considering his opponent) in the last election.
I hope that all made sense. I am awfully tired. My apologies for any misstatements or logically inconsistent arguments.
Last edited by Karak; 12-03-2010 at 03:17 AM.
Reason: politics suck