It's always best to go to the original news source, rather than one of the poker news rehash sites.
From
the original article in the Las Vegas Journal:
Quote:
U.S. Sen. Dean Heller said Thursday he is confident he and U.S. Sen. Harry Reid can work together - after the election - to pass an Internet poker bill this year.
"Absolutely, absolutely," Heller said in an interview with the Las Vegas Review-Journal editorial board when asked about the chances of legislation despite the senators' head-butting on the issue.
..."I have no doubt when this race is over, Senator Reid and I will sit down and say, 'OK, we got this behind us now, let's work together and get this done,' " Heller said of Internet poker. "And I have no doubt that it needs to get done by the end of the year. And I fully support working with Senator Reid in making that happen."
From the 4Flush article rehash:
Quote:
Heller was asked by the Journal what are the chances of legislation passing despite the fact that the senators have butted heads constantly on the issue and Heller stated that ‘absolutely’ the bill will pass.
See the difference? In the original, Heller's "absolutely" is talking about the "chances of legislation". So is that the chances of working on passage of legislation together with Reid during lame duck, or the chances that legislation "will pass" as rehashed by 4Flush?
As regards the possibility that a prohibition bill will pass without a poker carveout, I've been expressing that concern for months now.
Here is the latest.
There is certainly a risk in the overall strategy of putting a poker carveout into an anti-online gambling bill. In the UIGEA, there was a carveout for state-licensed igambling, horse racing, fantasy sports (new) and state lotteries. Now our Congress wants to expand express prohibition to all intrastate and interstate igambling, excluding only horse racing and limited forms of state lotteries (and maybe fantasy sports - yet to be seen). The inclusion of a poker carveout, something entirely new for federal law, would depend on Harry Reid's political clout.
I have no doubt that Kyl would throw a monkey wrench into the process if he saw the opportunity to pass the prohibition bill in the Senate without the poker carveout, despite any existing Reid/Kyl compromise. Personally, I'd peg the chances of such happening at just under 10% - pretty low, but still a four-outer on the river.