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Originally Posted by Doom_Switch
Player pool will be fine. Sweden has population 9mil and govt run site has decent pool California has 4x population which should lead to a juicy player pool.
[ ] Because the player pool will be sufficient, you should back the current monopoly legislation.
[x] There are better options to pursue.
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Fees will be less bc no reliance on Neteller etc. Accounts will not got frozen and funds will not get seized. Why would rake go up...my guess is that it most likely would be less.
[ ] Competition and lower costs will keep the rake down.
[x] Rake will be at least equivalent to the B&M casinos because it will be a monopoly plus any lower costs will be offset by higher government taxes.
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Originally Posted by eobmtns
1. The house would be accountable to someone. Who do you trust, the CA State Gaming Control Board, or the Kahwanake Gaming Commission? Where can you sue? Los Angeles? Or the Isle of Man? (Assuming CA doesn't put the damn Indians in charge of the whole thing.)
[x] There will be better consumer protections versus current offshore sites without U.S. licensing.
[x] Some of the Indian tribes are behind this legislation and the legislation and regulations will favor them over the consumers.
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2. Would there be more or fewer fish? Who cares whether there are hundreds or thousands of players, or where they are, or anything else besides what proportion of fish there are? Who would be the most likely players? Probably a mix of cardroom regs and new players who don't live near a cardroom.
[x] Likely there will be a higher percentage of fish (not necessarily more in terms of real numbers, just a higher percentage of the player pool, whatever number that may be) versus the current offshore site.
[x] Likely there will be far fewer game and stake choices due to little to no activity most times of the day, so you won't get to play the fish much except some evenings and some hours on the weekends.
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It's entirely possible that other US states could link to the CA game, just like with the Powerball and Mega Millions interstate lotteries.
[ ] The DOJ won't apply the Wire Act and the UIGEA to stop interstate online poker compacts.
[x] It will take an act of Congress to make interstate online poker compacts legal, which is likely to take one or two more decades to gather enough steam to pass and only if enough states first implement an intrastate online poker system.
[x] States will want to reap far greater revenues through taxation of monopoly intrastate online poker systems than will be garnered through the current proposed federal legislation. It will be far easier for a state to raise their taxation at any time, thereby raising costs to players through rake or loss of competitive promotions (rakeback, bonuses, etc.), than for a change to be made in the federal government fees on poker sites under federal licensing and regulation.
If it eventually comes down to the a choice of only intrastate legislation as currently proposed in California (a protectionist monopoly system), then that may be the way to go. However, there is no precedent set yet anywhere in the country for intrastate online poker. Don't jump at the current California proposal as the right solution, since a far better solution can be found, forwarded and implemented (if no federal legislation is passed). There is no reason to settle now for the monopoly system being touted by the California Indians. Even the current NJ bill, which outlaws playing on anything but the in-state sites but a least allows the offshore sites to be competitive system providers to the casinos, is far better than that.
Below is my scale (revised), from best to worst, of the possible state legislation options. The California proposal is the worst option of those that include intrastate licensing.
1. Pass federal legislation and remain an opt-in state.
2. Intrastate licensing of payment processors to process online poker transactions (the Skallagrim Solution).
3. Intrastate licensing available to all sites, in-state and foreign.
4. Intrastate licensing of existing casinos with choice to be a skin for existing foreign sites.
5. Intrastate licensing of existing casinos for in-state sites only, but no provision to make unlicensed site offerings illegal.
6. Intrastate licensing of existing casinos for in-state sites only under a competitive system, and making all other sites illegal.
7. Intrastate licensing of existing casinos for in-state sites only under a state-run monopoly system, and making all other sites illegal.
8. Make all site offerings illegal.
9. Make playing illegal.
10. Make all site offerings illegal and make playing illegal.