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Originally Posted by Pokeraddict
Before everyone gets excited about this, federal poker is a trainwreck waiting to happen. I have written extensively about this. I would love the PPA to address these issues:
I don't speak for the whole PPA here, but I will give you my views.
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1) Feds don't have any precedent to offer or benefit from gambling and the courts are clear gambling falls under state rights/10th amendment. How is this different?
People can make theoretical constitutional arguments
ad nauseam. In evaluating these constitutional theories it is important to remember that ultimately this issue will be resolved under the commerce clause. If it is constitutional for the federal government to prohibit you from growing wheat on your own land for your own family to eat because that act affects interstate commerce ... (and the Courts have said it is) ... then it is up to you to explain how anything conducted over the internet cannot be included as within Congress' power to regulate interstate commerce.
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2) States still have to opt in, so after a massive federal fight it is still ultimately up to the states. Why bother? I guess a few extra states may come in but it will be doubtful that it convinces many other states. States can already pass online poker today if they wanted.
Keeping this short in light of the number of questions, the answer here is that it will be far easier to convince most states to opt into an established federal POKER ONLY system than it will be to convince states to create their own online gambling systems that include a fair deal for poker interests (i.e., interstate players pools and reasonable rake/taxes)
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3) Not allowing states to offer any other online gambling clearly violates 10th amendment - what are they thinking?
This is hardly a generally accepted point of view. The internet is different from B&M gambling and the Feds could probably regulate a national gambling system if they asserted the right to do so. Please, if they can stop folks from selling raw milk why not online poker? Also, this a repeat of question 1.
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4) It seems the federal act excludes state lotteries either early or entirely. How do you think Delaware and Maryland will take that? Aren't they for sure going to fight that? Those are just two states that come to mind right away.
No doubt state lotteries that want to establish themselves online will oppose this bill, it gives them very little and the only compensation is that, other than poker and horse racing, they will have no new competition.
The problem is that the state lotteries 1) want a monopoly on all the online gaming in their state, 2) are inclined to take large percentages from their games with minimal customer support, and 3) will focus very little attention (if any) on good online poker because online poker will be their least profitable online game.
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5) Why do we need the feds to tax 2%? What are they providing? Aren't they just another hand in the cookie jar?
"Hey, you wanna do business in my territory, you gotta let me wet my beak."
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6) What about tribal gaming? It seems to me the IGRA attaches to internet gambling, if it didn't they would already be doing it. Tribal states have a potential nightmare on their hands if there is both commercial and tribal gaming. I have not seen anything in the draft that really addresses that.
There are some problematic provisions regarding tribes. Its not directly a PPA issue but in general the PPA supports the bill allowing for as much competition and participation as possible and that definitely includes the tribes. But even as written there are clear ways for the tribes to participate and benefit from this new market, it just should be more flexible and respective of tribal sovereignty in its details. Hopefully that part of the bill will be improved before final passage.
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7) Even if this passes, the state lotteries, anti gambling lobby, and 10th amendment activists are sure to take this to court. I cannot see how the feds prevail either. While this drags out in the courts states will sit back and watch because law says they can't develop their own online poker. They are not going to want to waste time and money on a new system that might ultimately become useless if the feds prevail. I would imagine it would take 2-3 years to run this through the court system, making federal online poker 3-4 years out if it is legal at all.
It is a Federal law. It goes into effect when the law says it does. If someone or something wants to challenge the law in court, of course they can. But if they seek to stop the law from taking effect, they need an injunction. Injunctions are not easy to get and require a much better case than that which might ultimately win after a trial.
Each individual lawsuit will probably be specific to the entity that brought the suit. So one also has to ask just how many states will really take this issue to court.
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8) The location of the server getting 30% is nonsense. No non casino state is going to go for that. Sure, they can add them, but we are talking about finding politicians in states like MS/TN/GA/SC/UT/AL to vote on this today and they won't.
Its not nonsense if you live in one of the licensing states. Its also not totally inappropriate as there is a cost to doing effective licensing and regulation.
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Why would anyone want this scenario over state by state?
Because I think you seriously underestimate the difficulty of getting good online poker through a state by state effort.
The biggest problem, as I indicated above, is the fact that in most if not all places the primary motivating factor for legalizing online gambling will be REVENUE - not the fact that it is only fair to let online poker players play their game. IOW, try getting a state legislature to consider a poker system with a fair rake and interstate compact play when they can make instant millions simply by putting slots on line. ... Feel unimportant? Perhaps you should.
The bottom line difference is that moving state by state to get opt ins under a federal system that is POKER ONLY will be far, far easier than trying to get states to establish player-friendly online poker legislation as part of their expansion into online slots and casino games.
A lot of people seem to assume that if we go forward state by state we will be going forward with poker at the forefront. I truly doubt that. Nevada was poker only because there is no state lottery there and the law was written with anticipation of Sen. Reid's federal proposal. All the other states will either be "gambling is bad!" or "gambling is a cash cow!" - neither of those environments are favorable for good online poker.
This federal bill is not the end of the fight for good online poker. I will be the first to admit that it is far from what I want. But I will also say that this federal bill IS OUR BEST OPTION FOR GETTING THE MOST U.S. PLAYERS PLAYING IN THE SHORTEST PERIOD OF TIME. And I also believe that as we play and become more accepted we can then get an even better bills in the future. I could be wrong, but I do not see that as a reason to stop trying, not to not accept small steps forward.
Skallagrim
Last edited by Skallagrim; 10-19-2012 at 11:26 PM.