Quote:
Originally Posted by Perrone66
Ran into this spot the other day. I think its pretty straight forward, but after reading through the K10ss hh last night I decided to post this one.
1/3 NL in a NH poker room
Table has been running for a few hours. H has just moved to this table. H has about 400 in his stack. Has raised a few times in the 30 minutes or so he has been at table. H when called at showdown has had it twice (KK and AQ respectively).
OTTH (6 handed)
H is UTG and looks down at AJHH and makes it 15, two callers (V1 AA losing player who has about 150, and V2 who has about 100). BB V3 (biggest stack at table, no history with H, looks like a reg based on clothing, handling of chips, and big wirelesss headphones, 3bets to 50)
H makes the sigh fold preflop.
Thoughts? Is it to nitty? BB has to have AQ+, and pocket pairs 99+ right? IF he were to 3B in position I would think his range would be wider but to do it from the BB signifies strength no?
That's an abnormally small 3bet over a raise and two callers, especially from oop. With that much dead money in the middle, V is actually incentivized to 3bet squeeze with a wider range and pick up 25bb uncontested... but his sizing is way off....
Calling and bringing the other two in and going 4 ways to a flop with an SPR of less than 2:1 would just be setting ourselves up for a tough time on a lot of flops, especially because we often won't be getting the implied odds to continue to the turn/river and realize our equity.
I think its a fold or 4bet bluff. I don't think the fold is horrible but you can put the majority of his range in a miserable spot if you go $165 and it folds back to him. If V is a thinking player or reg like you suspect he probably knows a 4bet at 1/3 is almost always AA & KK and he should be folding most of his range to a 4bet oop.