What do you think about this hand? I'm pretty tilted after this one

Can't fold without reads. If he has 66,55,65s, it's not unreasonable to give him 98s,87s
Oh didn't realize MP called shove. Gotta think about this some more

UTG looks to have predominately AK or 55-66. I'd expect AA and KK to reraise preflop, KQ should be afraid to shove turn after raising flop and getting called in two spots, but I guess KQ is possible from some players.

MP has played so passively that they should either have a set that is Slowplaying after set-mining or suited connectors that have hit a draw on the flop.

UTG - AK, KQ (discounting KQ to 4 combos as its less likely, so 10 combos you are beating)
Or 66, 55 (4 combos)
MP - 87s (4 combos)
Or 66, 55 ( 4 combos) (I'm assuming 65 would raise flop since they are vulnerable to so many turn cards)

So 26% of the time you are drawing to 2 outs vs UTG, 50% of the time you are drawing to 2 outs vs MP.

So 37% of the time your opponents are drawing to around 11 outs, and 63% of the time you are drawing to 2 outs.

(.37 × ((.74 × 25.27) - (.26 × 7.21)) + (.63 × ((.05 × 25.27) - (.95 × 7.21)) = 37% of the time your EV is +$16.83 and 63% your EV is -$5.59

Average EV on the call = +$2.71

However, you still have $12.81 left behind, and on the river, you won't have a clear plan on how to proceed. Shoving turn isn't going to be great since you'll likely just force the draw to fold but get your money in way behind against the sets. I think the turn call will be profitable, though.

Thanks for the math haha, from the way MP plays this hand so passively and we are both (200bb) deep I was sure he was holding 66. I'm so lost with how to play the hand, If I called the UTG Raise on the turn I would be ****ting bricks on the river.

You need 22.2% to call profitably.
Assumed ranges:
UTG: 66,55,6x5x,8x7x,9x8x
MP: 66,55,8d7d,KxQx
Your equity: 27.31%

You will have $12.81 left in a pot of $32.48. You need a plan of what rivers you're going to call if MP shoves.

Defining exact ranges is pretty hard because other reasonable ranges for UTG and MP are:
UTG: 66,55,6x5x,8x7x,9d8d
MP: 66,55,8d7d,6x5x,KxQx
Your equity: 20.56%

Without reads I like the fold. MP may not call the turn bet w/ KxQx because your range is strong (KK+,KJs+) and he is getting crushed. This drives your equity down further.

I think AK has to be in UTG's range, which increases your equity.

Yeah, with the cold call of the flop raise, I like the turn fold after the shove and call. I think we'd need some more stats/ reads to make the turn call.

If u had a read that MP is a fish, this would be a call.

Think I'd call this even it was vs more rec/reg players..
Turn blocks loads of UTG's sets, which leads his range weighting more towards Kx...

Is shoving the turn here really that bad?

UTGs aggression suggests that he is firing again preflop if he has KK, so I'm assuming this is AK/KQ. A shove on turn gives MP **** pot odds to call a draw with (if he isn't also hanging out with a similar hand to UTG), but I'm not convinced he folds to it based on all the calling he's done up to this point.