Quote:
Originally Posted by abgtr
Tight passive bets 50% pot into 2 ppl on river spot - generally like folding. His range has 4s in it, ours really doesn't.
To call & win v a value range of his, we need him to bet his A2/A3/A5 hands here 100% (and we need him to call both preflop & flop with A2 or A3). Having Ac does really limit his flush draw range, but as you highlighted it does exist still.
Fwiw, I think I prefer a $55 flop bet size and something closer to 60% OTT. Is there merit to betting 25% OTR as some block/value bet?
I agree that given Hero blocks the nut flush that some sort of small blocker bet is in order on the river (at least that's what I would have done but I am by no means an expert) - I think Hero will get called by some worse pairs, especially queens and possibly aces, and I would imagine that this combined with fold equity gets Hero above 25% winning and into the +EV zone.
Thoughts anyone?