Quote:
Originally Posted by mysterious
Personally, if I called with this hand, I would do it based on randomization. Calling all of my QTs would have me calling with virtually all of my hands. Also, important to note is the fact that good pros will discount your chance of having a flush and could be jamming sets and straights as well.
First, sets and straights aren't flatting this turn on a two flush board with a feasible straight draw, and then betting river after letting the flop flush draw get there. This just doesn't seem even remotely likely, to me anyway. Hands like KK and AA (although not necessarily all combos) seem more likely for villain to flat turn with, and as part of my analysis I did ask myself the question: would he bet some AA or KK on river? If you think my range after checking river has very few diamonds and he would (if he had them on river) bet some non flush value hands, that edges QTs more towards a call *because* I believe the ones he does flat turn with, I beat. I personally dont think he bets non flush value hands on river though.
Second, there are only two combinations of QTs here, but a) I have weaker hands than this in my range, AQ mainly (a lot of combos relatively speaking), and b) *some* of those AQ may make for better folds than QTs, although I think there are arguments both ways on that.
Definitely I will not be calling with QTs here all the time. I dont always randomize by the cards I have and in this case there is no difference between QTcc and QTss. I probably fold here 95%+, hence this post, because I feel like I didnt properly think it all the way through in game.
Last edited by rainbow57; 05-02-2019 at 04:03 PM.