Hero has $823 in SB with K♣️Q♠️
UTG opens to $12.50 with $550
UTG+1 reraises to $42.50 with $625
Folded to hero who 4 bets to $122.50 (I don't typically 4-bet here maybe only 10% of the time so not looking for comments on pre-flop)
UTG folds
UTG+1 calls $80 more.
I won't go on about it but this 4 bet against TAG players you have no reads on really is asking for trouble.
Definitely not cbetting... very hard to get value from worse, he could even make a tight fold with QQ or JJ, and he'll often flat your 4bet with AA and KK as well as TT and AK.
I'm guessing he considers your range to be tighter than it is with AA/KK/AK as your value hands here. If he's happy raising into that range on this flop then KQ doesn't look in great shape. It's hard to be thrilled about any turn card either apart from maybe a king. For these reasons I quite like a fold here but I guess a call is standard.
Roughly you need to have 137/713.5 = .192*100 = 19.2% equity to call here without even considering the fact there is still money behind and at least 1 more street of betting to continue.
Villain's value combos are anywhere from 10-18 depending on if he flats all AA,KK,TT and AK here preflop.
If we assume things on the low side here with 10 value combos we can roughly estimate the number of bluff combos needed to give us 19.2% equity:
.192 <= X/(X+10)
1.92 <= .808*X
2.32 <= X (note 2.32 is rounded)
So if villain has roughly 3 or more bluffs with 0 equity you can profitably call here. With the K of the suit on board and the 4 bet preflop from these positions I doubt villain ever has enough bluffs to call here even if villain had pure bluffs with no equity, which is unlikely.
Ha ..? ... “Oh, you mean my KQo it's no good? ...,Phew !” - (lol)
You don't play like a 2/5 game you play like 50/100 PokerStars ZOOM with "play money" - Now, very serious,.. are you playing the ZOOM NL at PokerStars? - If you come into our 5/10 NL 6max in Vegas, we eat you alive. Honest to God..,
I have a question for you. What do you do for a living that lets you play like this at these stakes? You play with fish yet still somehow find a way to give them your chips. If you want to open loose, you need to learn to let it go someone else shows strength before you get your stack in. No idea what you are thinking, prob something along the lines of "I've come this far in a hand, gotta call now" or "I had such a good hand ( lol ) can't believe I'm beat here. Bet, calling it off is absolutely horrible at this point.
If you cannot beat 2/5 when you get all the information in front of your eyes, you got a problem. I mean, KQo is one of the worse hands to 4! - What you think UTG+1 when he 3! with you and more players behind? - How about when the action goes around back to UTG and UTG+1. What you think, is UTG+1 folding after his 3! .because your 4!.? - How the hell is he folding if he's in a very EP 3!-bettor? - An what significance has your c-bet OTF of $88 into $262 ...., It doesn't even feel like poker ...
Looks like you have to call after you bet. He could have a flush draw. I don't like the way this hand was played though. On the flop, a check is better. In a 4-bet pot your hand strength is actually medium strength and best used as a bluff catcher. It probably is only strong enough to call one bet. Any additional bets and you're better off folding.
Don't mind outdonked for trying to pat himself on the back with his "superior" poker knowledge. He's probably just a miserable shmuck who makes a mediocre living at poker, but never amassed the success that he wished he had. He's just blowing off steam trying to rip you down. He's the kind of person that likes to make fun of other people for being stupid so he can feel less stupid himself.
Chances are you are leaking big time if you are cold 4-betting 10% of the time. Unless your opponents aren't paying attention, they are going to adjust and exploit you.
Fold pre. I don't like K-Qo as a cold 4-bet bluff even against button 3-bets. And this is UTG +1 who put in the three-bet! It puts you in terrible spots like this where you see an above average flop and are still in a tough spot. And, as mentioned above, 10% is way too high with this hand; suited hands are going to play better against a call.
This is clear fold on the flop IMO. Your cold four-betting range should be pretty small, and your c-betting percentage should certainly be under 50% GTO. So K-Qo falls so low in your range that you have to fold to the raise. I prefer to x/c this hand on the flop.
If people want to fold this hand pre-flop, that's fine and standard. But what is your bluff 4 bet range? There is a reasonable argument here that this is a good bluffing hand for its card removal effects -- opponents will have less KK,QQ,AK,AQ hands than they would if you chose, for instance, 78s or A5s. Maybe you only have AK,QQ+, and fold everything else? If that's true, then I would disagree, you've got to have ~some~ bluffs.
For me personally, I would probably not have ten percent of KQo. I might instead have twenty percent of my AQs/KQs, but mathematically, this is a similar number of combos.
All that said, if OP is doing it 10% of the time, with the top 10% of his "standard fold" hands, (i.e. 10% of the time with any suited broadways, 77-JJ, AT-AQ, KQ) then that's WAY too often.
On the flop I look to check/call and re-evaluate. Your hand to an observer looks like AK or better, and you have worse than that. Therefore you don't want to get stacks in, nor play for multiple streets of value. You want to play in such a way to get one street of value from JJ or ATs, or to induce a bluff. You don't accomplish those things by taking lines that suggest or impose maximum pressure.
